I've had many questions lately from a lot of you asking "will we have a white Christmas this year?"
It's difficult to forecast more than three or four days ahead of time whether a particular place is likely to have snow on the ground on Christmas Day.
U.S. weather records averaged over a 30-year period show that only five places with long-term weather records are practically guaranteed to have a white Christmas. They are Marquette and Sault Ste Marie in Michigan, Hibbing and International Falls in Minnesota, and Stampede Pass in Washington.
As the map shows (above), wide areas of northern Minnesota and Wisconsin, much of Michigan's Upper Peninsula, and western mountains including the Cascades of Washington and Oregon, California's Sierra, and the Rockies from Montana and Idaho south into southern Colorado have a better than 90% chance of snow on the ground at Christmas.
Here in the Ohio, Big Sandy and Kanawha Valley's, our average chance of at least one inch of snow on the ground Christmas morning is about 25%. Not the greatest of chances!
This year we're going to have rain on Christmas and not snow. So the only way we're going to have a white Christmas 2009 is if the snow you have on the ground from last weekends snowstorm doesn't melt away. That's likely to happen in the mountains. So most areas in the Tri-State will not have a white Christmas but odds favor snow remaining on the ground in the mountains.
I want to wish all of you a very merry Christmas and Happy New Year!
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