Update - A Well-Deserved Rebound

After a chilly morning, temperatures are poised to warm up through the middle of the week. Enjoy some sun too, because showers are not that far away.

Updates below (most recent 11:15am)

Good Tuesday morning to you all.

The first item up will be the clearing skies putting out another threat for Frost/Freeze conditions. The thing here is that some areas will be sheltered by the winds that haven't quite subsided yet, and others (oddly enough) will be sheltered by a snowpack that keep the plants from going below 32°. I don't suspect this will be a severe issue this morning, but here are the maps to keep an eye on front and center:

Current Temperatures Freeze Watches (Pink)
Current Temperatures Active NWS Warnings

Sections of interior ohio and along the river might be the most susceptible on this list, in addition to any mountain valley that didn't happen to get snowfall to stick through the overnight.

At some point today, I'll post a tangent that gives a post-mortem on the storm that came through. Even though most of us were not affected, this was a noteworthy (if not historic) system that brought some areas in PA/NY their highest snow totals for this late in the season. The final tallies and what-not won't be available until later this morning.

But for now, let's look ahead.

We get a much-needed break in the action, with lessening winds and more of the sunshine we started on yesterday. Note the impact it's going to have on the temperatures:

GFS - Max Temps - Tuesday GFS - Max Temps - Wednesday GFS - Max Temps - Thursday

The GFS may be a little overdone with the highs getting into the mid-70s, but here's to hoping, right? :-)

One of the things affecting the temperatures from mid-week through the end will be a pesky convergence zone that will be taking shape across the middle of the country. Here's how it looks on Thursday on the WRF:

WRF - Thursday Morning

I've placed in yellow the 'zone' that will be focusing showers as it looks like on the map. Now, this zone will be morphing and changing through the end of the week, lifting northward above us, sagging below us, or going right through us. Temperatures can be highly dependent on which side we're on (I bet when this is north of us we could certainly get into the 70s). The part that will have most of our attention is when we get the zone right over-top of us (like on Thursday). This provides a conga-line of showers to come through, making for a rather unsettled time. Here's what the HPC is considering for our rainfall totals by the end of the week:

HPC - Rainfall - Through Saturday PM

You can see that 'zone' we'll be watching for, and it's not set in stone exactly who's going to get the bulls-eye of precipitation. However, if we did happen upon two more inches of rain by the end of the week, dare I say we'll be back on track in the Charleston area (and folks in the SW mountains will certainly not be happy at the continued excess of rain).

Update 11:15am - Recap of yesterday's storm

The snow event that came through parts of our area (mainly the eastern WV mountains) struck the entirety of the Mid-Atlantic and the Northeast. As we were discussing the past few days, the mountain snows and the heavy rains in the Northeast would be the headlines. When things finally settled down, several places got the most snow they had ever seen this late in the year. In addition, more than 75,000 people were out of power becaues of the heavy snow snapping branches. Topping the list was Laurel Summit, PA with a whopping 23.2" of snow. For late April (especially given the warmth we've had) that's amazing.

Here's the map I gave for anticipated snowfall totals from Saturday night:

Snowfall Forecast

Here are some snowfall totals I've managed to cobble together from the NWS and your reports:

Terra Alta, WV (Preston Co.)        9.1"
Oakland, MD (Garrett Co.)           8.0"

Davis, WV (Tucker Co.)              6.2"
Richwood, WV (Nicholas Co.)      4.8"
Snowshoe, WV (Pocahontas Co.) 4.0"
Mt. Nebo, WV (Nicholas Co.)       3.2"
Beckley, WV (Raleigh Co.)          1.0"

In all, not too bad...The Northern WV mountains got the most snow as expected. Beckley, WV was difficult to pin down. A lot of folks who live around there have given me measurements all over the place. McRoss, higher in elevation, had about 4", but at the official station for KBKW they measured only 0.1". Most reports were around 1" that has since melted. Indeed, only the higher mountains have snow still on the ground from yesterday's event. The Charleston area did not get any snow, but we did get some temporary dustings and mixings in portions of Clay, Boone, and Mingo counties.

Here's how the total moisture pull looks for the region:

Total Precipitation

That's a lot of water. Don't forget the winds either... Mount Washington, NH gusted up to 94mph, and Laguardia airport clocked in at 54mph!

The rest of the maps for your planning needs:

Regional Radar/Satellite with Warnings Tracking

Accuweather Radar

Temperatures HD Doppler Radar Estimated Rainfall Active Warnings
Current Temperatures HD Doppler Radar Estimated Rainfall Active NWS Warnings
Click For Larger Click For Interactive Radar Click For Larger Click For Larger

Have a great day everyone!

-B

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