Good Friday morning!
It won't be long now until we can sample another weekend. The last two weekends featured unseasonably cold temperatures, brisk winds, but sunny skies. We have already gone through two cold mornings, so from here on out we at least shouldn't have to worry about that aspect of it.
Saturday is still coming up pretty nice and dry, though now there's a question of how far into the afternoon/evening we can stay dry.
|NAM - Saturday Midday||NAM - Saturday Evening||NAM - Sunday Midday|
Temperatures will creep toward the 70s in most spots Saturday before the rain arrives to finish off the day. The first drops make it into southern Kentucky in the afternoon, but folks nearer to the Kanawha Valley won't see rain until after sunset. This makes for great news for all the events going on (ball-games, charity runs, etc.) though be sure to consider an umbrella if you're seeing the evening performance of the circus.
Sunday into Monday will have the same sort of scattered gray showers we've been looking at before. There's not a whole lot of worry for severe weather here, and we can always take the rain in April. However, if the fuzzy targeting of the 'scattered afternoon shower' happens to appear over the same location for a couple of days in a row, we may have to start looking at the possibility of some localized flooding.
The next larger weather-maker comes toward the second-half of the next week:
|GFS - Thurday||GFS - Friday|
On paper, it certainly looks interesting. Check out the solid black line on the above maps. This represents the 0°C line at the 5,000-ft level. In the fall, winter, and spring, it's a good number to watch for the progression of cold air-- all the way down to the Gulf Coast by Friday morning. This is highly anomalous compared with climatology, so there's a lot of impetus for this system to modify and not be as starkly cold by the time we get to the middle of next week (ie., there are way more times the models call for something nasty up ahead than that actually verify). Out toward Chicago-land though, this would mean high temperatures in early May struggling to get back to the 40s. Brr! For folks heading to the Kentucky Derby events, this might cut out some dress options, unless the fancy hat comes with long-johns perhaps ;-)
|Regional Radar/Satellite with Warnings Tracking||
From the Storm Prediction Center (below): Click For a Larger Image
|Activity Overview||Storm Outlook||Watches||Potential Watches||Storm Reports|
|Temperatures||HD Doppler Radar||Estimated Rainfall||Active Warnings|
|Click For Larger||Click For Interactive Radar||Click For Larger||Click For Larger|
Have a great day everyone!