I can just taste it! One of the primo grill-out weekends of the year. It's both a pleasure and a curse to man the grill in times like these, because temperatures will be heating up. Even today has a shot at getting to the 90-degree mark.
Let's first discuss the heat. Here are the record highs for Charleston and Huntington for the days ahead:
And once again, here are the GFS model outputs for Max Temps for the weekend:
|GFS - Max Temps - Saturday||GFS - Max Temps - Sunday||GFS - Max Temps - Monday|
We just might have an opportunity to take on some records Saturday, but it should be pointed out that the "official" measuring stations for temperature records are the airports (Tri-state and Yeager). As I've said earlier, I don't think we'll quite get there at the official spots, but I can almost guarantee the mid-90s will be seen on those bank thermometers or the car dashboards when you just turn on the ignition.
Don't ignore the recommendations for sunscreen and hydration. Let alone sunburns, just getting that sun poisoning bit that knocks you out for a long afternoon nap may make you miss out on some good times with friends and family-- because these are the days for getting together.
Opportunities for rain...
Okay, we've been looking at this as well over the past few days, so let's tackle it again. That front to our north that may graze the northern counties looks like this on the models today:
|GFS - Friday PM||NAM - HiRes Sim Radar - Friday PM|
The GFS continues to smear around rain showers across its resolution grid where there probably won't be as much coverage (certainly not as alarming looking). I prefer the readout of the hi-resolution NAM radar simulation, which shows a few scattered clusters of thunderstorms prowling around but primarily staying to our north. This could perhaps impact the softball games in Vienna, but the timing would have it near the close of the day.
The other opportunity for rain comes on Saturday afternoon with the "air mass thunderstorms" brought on by the hotter temperatures and resident humidity. Here's Saturday and Sunday from the NAM:
|NAM - K Index - Saturday PM||NAM - K Index - Sunday PM|
Saturday will see scattered storms spark in the mountains and carry themselves downhill, but Sunday looks a little easier (most likely because of the incoming tropical air to Georgia allowing an associated dry wedge of air to progress across the mountains into the tri-state area).
Through the period, here's the HPC modeled forecast for total rainfall:
|HPC - 3Day Rainfall Forecast|
Not a whole lot of concern then. Yes, the flowers won't be happy with this one unless you're watering them yourself, but Vandalia Days, Live on the Levy, Memory Days, the Ironton Memorial Day parade, etc. etc. all should be a go.
For all those folks hoping (or soon hoping) for a cool-down, look no further than early next week. We'll talk about that soon enough.
|Regional Radar/Satellite with Warnings Tracking||
From the Storm Prediction Center (below): Click For a Larger Image
|Activity Overview||Storm Outlook||Watches||Potential Watches||Storm Reports|
|Temperatures||HD Doppler Radar||Estimated Rainfall||Active Warnings|
|Click For Larger||Click For Interactive Radar||Click For Larger||Click For Larger|
Have a great day and a WONDERFUL holiday weekend! Don't forget to thank a soldier!