Good Tuesday morning everyone.
Snow showers have been continuing off and on throughout the tri-state, though from here on out most of the accumulating stuff will be confined to the traditional up-slope locations as a lake-effect pattern takes hold.
|NAM - Windfield - Tuesday Morning||NAM - Tuesday Morning|
The wind is out of the northwest across the region, with any air forced uphill having the equivalent of a front forcing precipitation overhead. Most of the area will be in line for at least the scattered snow showers, but it's really the ridgetops that are looking at flakes sticking. Most of the time it's the periodic coating that melts, but the ski slopes will naturally get each wave to mount on top of the others.
If you were to follow the GFS, you'd think the lake-effect flakes would last right through to April...
|GFS - Tuesday Afternoon||GFS - Wednesday Afternoon||GFS - Thursday Afternoon||GFS - Friday Afternoon|
I would interpret this moreso as a persistently stubborn pattern that makes little provision for sunshine and keeps the temperatures 10-20 degrees below normal. Yuck.
Eventually we'll get back to more pleasant weather, so if you have to think of a silver lining, it would be that we go through the annoying-ness during the week to cash in during the weekend. It won't be a clean sweep though.
|GFS - Saturday Afternoon||GFS - Sunday Afternoon|
Saturday looks about as good as we'll get this week. We may even get a sunrise service out of it on Easter Sunday, but don't expect to enjoy the afternoon outside. At least it's all rain this time-- something much more reminiscent of spring.
But, are we out of the woods yet?
|6-10 Day Outlook - Temperature||6-10 Day Outlook - Precipitation|
The long range doesn't look too promising, but the farther we go into spring, even "below normal temperatures" will eventually still preclude snowfall.
|Regional Radar/Satellite with Warnings Tracking||
From the Storm Prediction Center (below): Click For a Larger Image
|Activity Overview||Storm Outlook||Watches||Potential Watches||Storm Reports|
|Temperatures||HD Doppler Radar||Estimated Rainfall||Active Warnings|
|Click For Larger||Click For Interactive Radar||Click For Larger||Click For Larger|
Have a great day everyone!