Update for March 2nd - I would be remiss if not to offer my own comments about the anniversary of the tornadoes of a year ago. I ended up working a full 22-hours or so that day, but at the very least we can always say we saw the bad moon rising. They say that 70% of tornado warnings turn out as nothing more than false alarms. It's always in the back of a meteorologist's mind that you risk un-necessarily scaring people (perhaps hurting your warnings' effectiveness next time), but in this case we felt we had no choice-- As Tony C said that day, the indicators were simply off the charts to the degree he hadn't seen in his 25 years at WSAZ. If we weren't going to go big then, then when..?
This was also right around the time when I first took over the blog, believe it or not. It's been quite a labor ever since-- most often one of love ;-)
In fact, here's a recap of the Tornadoes of March 2nd, 2012, representing of my first blog posts. Check it out, and remember.
...And we've finally made it to Friday!
Our storm continues to wind down, with the center of low pressure becoming increasingly diffuse and unspun.
Nevertheless, there continues to be some broken pieces of energy rotationg gradually around the lakes, so the opportunity for snowflakes and raindrops will continue today and to an even lesser extent tomorrow. In the lowlands we'll be primarily seeing an annoyance with no lasting effects, but in those WV Mountains we'll still be looking at upslope snowfall granting another 1-2" with each snow band.
To follow the snow, check out the tracking maps below. In between each cluster of precipitation don't be surprised to start sneaking in some cloud breaks. As our storm winds down, those breaks will become larger and larger and the moisture becoming more and more reliant on elevation for any sort of staying power.
If anyone's looking for sunshine, later on Sunday and Monday will be the best days for that. Up ahead though, another storm is taking shape in the models...
|GFS - Tuesday Evening||ECMWF - Tuesday Evening|
There is a disagreement between the GFS and the EURO on Tuesday's storm system (and usually when there's disagreement, the EURO is often more favored. If that's the scenario, a southern storm brings rain and snow to our area before sliding offshore by the VA/NC Tidewater region. However, the GFS has consistently been digging the moisture underneath the tri-state, leaving us on the outside looking in (again), though primarily we'd be talking about snowfall for our friends in the far south. Of course, this is all many days away. There's plenty of time to keep an eye on it.
|Regional Radar/Satellite with Warnings Tracking||
From the Storm Prediction Center (below): Click For a Larger Image
|Activity Overview||Storm Outlook||Watches||Potential Watches||Storm Reports|
|Temperatures||HD Doppler Radar||Estimated Rainfall||Active Warnings|
|Click For Larger||Click For Interactive Radar||Click For Larger||Click For Larger|
Have a great day everyone!