Another warm day. Storms bring change starting Thursday.

It may even feel hot out there this time around, with temperatures approaching the mid/upper 80s. There is a slight risk for severe weather as we get to Thursday evening.

It's shaping up to be a warm weather Wednesday for the tri-state!

HPC - Surface Map - Wednesday Afternoon

The weather pattern today is quite similar to yesterday, with the same focus of moisture just to our north along I-70 through I-90, the same influx of warm southwesterly breezes, and the same looming storm system lumbering eastward. In the continued April sunshine, we'll expect to gain another couple of degrees on yesterday's warmth, putting us into the mid and upper 80s (hot!). It won't be sunny all day long though-- like yesterday we'll see patches of hazy clouds and even a rogue shower or two.

Thursday itself will have a fair amount of dry time in it, as the models are pushing back the onset of rain.

NAM - Thursday Afternoon NAM - Thursday Evening NAM - Friday Morning

We'll have another shot at 80-degrees if the rain hangs back past 2:00pm. As is typical with this type of scenario, wherever the front lies during the prime heating hours of the day (right around where the max temp for the day is typically reached in the mid-afternoon) is where we'll be keeping an eye out for the strongest thunderstorms. The action is less risky in the overnight/early morning hours (but of course we know that is not absolute). In this case, our far western counties have the best risk for a thunderstorm to turn severe nearby, while the whole system is already quickly departing Friday morning. The Storm Prediction Center is looking at it like so:

SPC - Severe Weather Probability - Thursday

So we'll be tracking whatever fires during that afternoon period and holds on eastward after sunset. The primary threat we'll face is any particular qualifying wind gusts that may accompany the stronger storms.

Another way of looking at it is that we'll be going from high temperatures in the mid/upper 80s to those barely getting back to the 50s by Saturday. You can only get there through this kind of turbulence, be it winds or storms. Both Saturday and Sunday will feature cooler skies and chilly mornings, but we'll get back to where we left off much more quickly early next week with our next round of showers.

Regional Radar/Satellite with Warnings Tracking

Accuweather Radar

From the Storm Prediction Center (below): Click For a Larger Image

Activity Overview Storm Outlook Watches Potential Watches Storm Reports
Temperatures HD Doppler Radar Estimated Rainfall Active Warnings
Current Temperatures HD Doppler Radar Estimated Rainfall Active NWS Warnings
Click For Larger Click For Interactive Radar Click For Larger Click For Larger

Have a great day everyone!



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