Update - Are we there yet?

After a run of risks over the past several days, it'll be good to get back to a time where we don't have a "watch" of some sort in our future. This weekend may be just that time.

Updates Below (most recent 2:30pm)

Welcome to your Saturday!

I want to thank everybody for their patronage of this blog. Over the past couple days, there were many thousands of hits and viewers who chose this place to come to for important weather information-- and I'm very grateful. Even if the posting slows down a touch because I get so busy with the 'day job' on air and all that, I've noticed that the constantly updating storm tracking maps that I've created have managed to stay useful ;-)

Today, thankfully, will be an easier time weather-wise, although toward the mountains in the east we're still in a little of a pickle. Here's how the surface map looks today:

HPC - Surface Map - Saturday PM

Lots of low level moisture still hangs around the region, in part because of the rainfall and also because our frontal system has been loathe to actually get a move-on. It may take some time, but we'll break the clouds soon enough.

Our lagging cold front that needed a little push did get one yesterday, but it's still shambling slowly eastward today. By the peak heating of the afternoon, it should be right over the Appalachian mountains or perhaps just east of there. This does create a bit of a precarious set-up just for a few moments out that way:

NAM - Saturday PM NAM - Sunday PM

So as the timing lines up, we will be looking for a boomer or two to pop, particularly up from Snowshoe to the Canaan Valley of WV, but there may be one or two sneaking around the southern most mountains of Kentucky. By Sunday we'll be fully out of that mix with a great day on tap.

Perhaps the best news of all has to do with the temperatures:

GFS - Max Temps - Saturday GFS - Max Temps - Sunday GFS - Max Temps - Monday

All the steamy heat and humidity is pushed south for a while...a little while anyway. But, the only day we've got this week where temperatures will be hitting 90 will be Monday, as the atmosphere clicks upward for another run at showers and storms (Monday night into Tuesday). Overall, a week under 90 right at the end of July and the beginning of August can't be too bad, right?

Update (2:30pm) - Here's a good clue that the front has not yet worked its way into the mountains despite it now being the prime heating hours of the day: Showers and light rumbles are now spotting up along the Ohio River. The convection should eventually migrate to the mountains with the slow progression of the front. It'll be there that the most likely opportunity for thunderstorms exists, as the ground will have had a little more time to get ready via that sunshine. Not expecting much to come of this in the local area, though it's probably annoying for a time for those who demanded a perfectly dry Saturday after such a bumpy week and instead run into a 10 minute downpour.


Regional Radar/Satellite with Warnings Tracking

Accuweather Radar

From the Storm Prediction Center (below): Click For a Larger Image

Activity Overview Storm Outlook Watches Potential Watches Storm Reports
Temperatures HD Doppler Radar Estimated Rainfall Active Warnings
Current Temperatures HD Doppler Radar Estimated Rainfall Active NWS Warnings
Click For Larger Click For Interactive Radar Click For Larger Click For Larger

Have a great day everyone!


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