Updates Below - (most recent Saturday)
Greetings! It is Friday!
Enjoy today as best you can, because it'll be the last day near 80-degrees for a while. We've been preaching this all week too-- particularly the rapid drop-off in temperature from Friday to Saturday. A storm system is approaching, with lots of cold air locked in behind it. Several inches of snow has been falling in North Dakota and Minnesota. Eventually (and some of us say 'hopefully') that will be our lot, but for now it's the first sign of the coldest days we've seen this season.
|HPC - Surface Map - Friday PM|
The first bit of good news I've got is that the rain won't quite make it here, even after the evening commute. The football games themselves should go off without a hitch, and still in those milder temperatures too. However, once our western counties experience the first pitter-patters, the change is on and there's no going back. Notice how most of the rain, if not all, are actually located behind the front. Most fronts arrive with the showers out ahead of them, but this one is demonstrating its favoratisim for the colder air that will dig in and lift everything upward as it comes through.
Now, we've been talking for much of the week about how Saturday will be a downer because of the showers and the MUCH cooler temperatures (a greater than 20-degree drop from one day to the next). However, let's try to pull out some positives from this situation as well. Check out some of the hi-resolution model Imagery for the 2-day period.
|NAM - Early Saturday||NAM - Saturday Afternoon
||NAM - Saturday Overnight
Despite the unavoidable push of colder air, it is clear that there will be an impulse of concentrated energy associated with a closed area of low pressure riding up along the front as it approaches. Notice how those heavier showers shoot up to our north into New England and leave behind a more fractured and fibrous shower picture. This is good news for folks who haven't canceled their evening plans on Saturday-- but you still have to use a towel to wipe off any outdoor seats, and certainly bring the coats for the dropping temperatures. Overnight seems to be our best bet for a lull in the rains, but I'm sure there will be some salvageable hours on the edges. Now here's a look at Sunday as well:
|NAM - Sunday Midday||NAM - Sunday Evening|
A second impulse of energy rides up along the front Sunday, but this will be just as it is aligned with the Appalachian Mountains. It is possible that some folks in eastern Kentucky and in parts of Ohio slip through the cracks here and avoid umbrella-worthy showers. Others will see the rain, but ending by the evening hours. It will be cold for everyone though. The high temperature of the day will struggle to even get to the mid 50s-- a stark contrast to these past few days of warm goodness.
So there it is... All is not lost for some of those weekend activities. With some proper planning, and by keeping tabs on the weather (here), we'll survive ;-)
Update (9:45am Saturday) - The showers are moving through in the morning hours, and the clearing line is advancing from the west. Don't expect it to move eastward at the same clip in our area though. The Appalachian Mountains will always hang up the low clouds. Here's a look at a recent Visible Satellite image from today:
|Visible Satellite - 9:45am|
The clouds are much more stubborn in the WV / KY mountains. But, if we can at least get the rain to quit (which is happening), we'll have an afternoon of gradually breaking clouds and cooler temperatures-- perfect fall weather for a homecoming game perhaps?
Update (Noon Saturday) - Clearing comes to Huntington!
|Regional Radar/Satellite with Warnings Tracking||
From the Storm Prediction Center (below): Click For a Larger Image
|Activity Overview||Storm Outlook||Watches||Potential Watches||Storm Reports|
|Temperatures||HD Doppler Radar||Estimated Rainfall||Active Warnings|
|Click For Larger||Click For Interactive Radar||Click For Larger||Click For Larger|
Have a great day everyone!