Breezy showers move through, an up-and-down week on the way

This morning finds us tracking showers, with cooler air to follow. There will be a couple more opportunities for showers this week, with a turn to more fall-like weather towards the weekend.

It's back to Monday everyone!

We start off the weather scene with the same front that has been working its way through since late yesterday. A marginal wind advisory for our western counties combined with a few showers and isolated rumbles have created an occasionally animated but generally non-threatening scenario. This front continues to work its way through this morning on into the afternoon, with most of the showers eventually setting up shop along and east of I-79. Here's a look at the NAM Maps for the day:

NAM - Monday Early AM NAM - Monday Afternoon

After the showers depart, skies clear tonight with the cold coming back. Temperatures in the hollows go back down to the upper 30s, with the cities remaining near 40. We get a couple days of nice weather-- even briefly getting back to the 70s by mid-week. Here's a look at the larger weather map features we'll be seeing this week:

HPC - Monday PM

You can see the cold air plunge behind the departing front, followed mid-week by the southwesterly flow that will return us to seasonal to above-normal temperatures. Later in the week, that next low pressure system will dive in and hang around right into the weekend as a prolonged trough in the eastern half of the country. Here's the GFS:

GFS - Thursday AM GFS - Saturday AM

The first wave of showers on Thursday will have the best opportunities for thunder rumbles, but it's the return to below-normal temperatures that will have more staying power. Let's see if this is supposed to last even longer term:

6-10 Day Outlook - Temperature 6-10 Day Outlook - Precipitation

The presence of a few different areas of above and below normal temperatures indicates a continued amplified jetstream. It's fairly typical of the fall (and spring), but if our colder weather holds, this entire month's worth of mostly below-normal temperatures may well end up quite out of the ordinary. For those keeping track, we're currently running 3-4 degrees below normal.

Regional Radar/Satellite with Warnings Tracking

Accuweather Radar

From the Storm Prediction Center (below): Click For a Larger Image

Activity Overview Storm Outlook Watches Potential Watches Storm Reports
Temperatures HD Doppler Radar Estimated Rainfall Active Warnings
Current Temperatures HD Doppler Radar Estimated Rainfall Active NWS Warnings
Click For Larger Click For Interactive Radar Click For Larger Click For Larger

Have a great day everyone!



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