S-A T-U-R D-A-Y ...
I know, very bubble-gummy for the weather blog... but here we are at a fantastic weekend of weather (better than Memorial Day weekend). Take advantage of it and make some plans :-)
A high pressure system has dropped in and will hold off showers and storms in masterful fashion for today and Sunday. Here's a look at the surface map:
|HPC - Saturday PM||HPC - Sunday PM|
Our ridge of high pressure will assume a normal summertime position off the Carolina coastline, and will begin to increase the flow of heat and humidity up the spine of the Appalachians. Thursday's highs were in the low 80s, yesterdays in the mid-80s, you get the picture. Expect a sticky day up near 90 by Sunday. As far as when the moisture finally makes its way into our area, it will be a race between the slowly percolating showers in the mountains and the sweeping cold front in the northern plains. Here's what models are saying:
|GFS - Monday PM||CMC - Monday PM|
Both models show the heat/humidity pop-up showers and storms beating out the cold front, but the GFS clearly has a mix of the two while the CMC is cleanly keeping them separate. If you don't care where they are coming from and just want to know if it's going to rain or not, here's the projected rainfall for this event:
|HPC - Projected Rainfall - Monday PM thru Wednesday PM|
Umbrella weather for those days-- not fun for the campers out there. We'll be looking for sunshine on the back end of this one to finish out the week head (and another temporary cool-down). Given the heat and humidity in place before the action starts, I suspect we'll also be in storm tracking mode.
|Regional Radar/Satellite with Warnings Tracking||
|Temperatures||HD Doppler Radar||Estimated Rainfall||Active Warnings|
|Click For Larger||Click For Interactive Radar||Click For Larger||Click For Larger|
Have a great day everyone!