Update (3/9) - Saturday morning, and the sun will be pretty good all day long. High pressure now fully asserted overhead, and our New England coastal storm departed. [Over 2-feet of snow fell in parts of Southern New England out of a storm that was originally forecast to drop a couple inches in the mountains with a mix of rain else-where. Given that the forecast was completely blown in parts of PA and MD, this particular storm could go down as one of the worst forecast events in recent winter history! However, this did happen more-or-less according to plan for the WV mountains and the greater tri-state area.]
Our next storm system won't approach until after the weekend, but do enjoy these 50s and 60s temperatures while they're there-- we'll be cooling back next week. Here's how the NAM is currently looking at this next system:
|NAM - Monday Morning||NAM - Monday Evening||NAM - Tuesday Morning|
This time around, we're going to get a more 'normal' weather event it seems. A trough axis moves in, with a little wave along it that slides in Monday afternoon. On the back side Tuesday as it lifts farther north and east, colder air returns back into the system, changing some folks to snow-flakes as the moisture is ending. At present it does not look like much of a snow event, but it certainly looks like a party-crasher for our nice little stretch of spring weather.
Good Friday morning -- Here it comes!
So how about that weekend... Things are looking up! After being mired in clouds and annoying drizzle for a while, it's time to break out some sunshine. Now, this morning may be a little slow out of the gates, but there's no denying the end destination with this one:
|HPC - Surface Map - Friday|
High pressure rides in, and it's a rather stout one (1033mb). When combined with a < 992mb storm system off the Atlantic coast there's still a lot of wind-flow. The change in pressure across a distance is called a pressure 'gradient'. The tighter the gradient the faster the wind-flow. At first today, that wind is still coming in with a lake-borne component (off Lake Erie and Ontario). And how about that storm system off the coast-- it's the same one that slipped by us on Wednesday, the same one that brought 12"+ snows to the WV mountains and parts of the Mid-Atlantic, and the same one that is bringing rain/snow to New England for 48-hours-plus. You thought you were annoyed by clouds? Head to the North Shore of Massachusetts :-) (my original stomping grounds)
Anyway, with a big bubble of high pressure like this, we'll see sunshine occupy a large slice of the Ohio Valley and eastern US. Eventually we'll find ourselves on the back end of it, which means wind-flow out of the south and west. Check out what we've got coming in terms of temperatures...
|GFS - Max Temps - Friday||GFS - Max Temps - Saturday||GFS - Max Temps - Sunday|
Is that a 70 I see on Sunday? Wouldn't that be nice ;-)
That's not to say that our first dance with spring will be completely winter free... Check out how the WV mountains have been doing with each storm that has swept through since February:
|NOHRSC - Snow Depth|
In the higher terrain east and north of Beckley, we're talking a greater than 20" snowpack all the way up through to Canaan Valley. Since the WV mountains have received between 3 and 5 feet of snow in the last few weeks, you can imagine this is going to be some primo skiing conditions for all our area resorts. Very nice indeed.
So, whether you want more winter in your life, or a hankering for spring, this weekend's got something for you. Enjoy!
|Regional Radar/Satellite with Warnings Tracking||
From the Storm Prediction Center (below): Click For a Larger Image
|Activity Overview||Storm Outlook||Watches||Potential Watches||Storm Reports|
|Temperatures||HD Doppler Radar||Estimated Rainfall||Active Warnings|
|Click For Larger||Click For Interactive Radar||Click For Larger||Click For Larger|
Have a great day everyone!