Update - Southern-Stream Snow Storm Gets Close...

Temperatures are a lot colder out there today, and it's a signal for a shift in the weather pattern. However, snowflakes continue to be elusive this winter. Is that about to change too?

Check the maps below for the latest watch/warnings ... We have a winter storm on our hands for the Beckley area and points south during the day tomorrow. It may also clip southern Mingo and Pike counties on east from there. By contrast, the weather north of the Ohio River will be much tamer. I will be posting more on this tonight.

Updated Below (most recent 4:30pm)

Good Tuesday to one and all.

Our target zone of unsettled weather continues to impact the area, but now, as expected, we're on the cold side of the mess. But, these sorts of situations do not involve a plunge of arctic air or anything, so more often than not temperatures will continue to be marginal.

HPC - Tuesday PM

In between the orange lines is where this 'zone' (that we've been talking about for a week now) has shifted. The connected chain of L's continue to demonstrate how the conveyor-belt of moisture is still in service. Fortunately it hasn't been a heavy rain, but a persistent annoyance. The flooding threat stays low, but the puddle-factor stays high. On the northern-most edge of the showers, the part closest to the coldest air, would be where the worry is regarding frozen precipitation.

NAM - Wednesday Morning NAM - Precipitation Type - Wednesday Morning

That and the valleys east of the mountain peaks.

So, how long are we going to have to keep the umbrella around? Normally on this blog we're always spotting where the next 'event' is going to be, but this time around I think it's fair to try to look for some sunshine :-)

Thursday afternoon looks like a good candidate, as well as Friday.

GFS - Surface Chart - Thursday Afternoon GFS - 700mb Chart - Thursday Afternoon

High pressure will be to the north, and low pressure to the south, but at the 'cloud level' (700mb chart) we see a region of dry air right in our area keeping the moisture to the underside of the mountains. An interesting question with that southern low-pressure system is whether or not snowflakes will be flying in central Alabama. If that happens, I can guarantee a bunch of blog-watchers are going to get pretty annoyed ;-)

The finish to the month of January looks a bit more inviting for snowfall... Just got to get a storm in here to do it... 

6-10 Day Outlook - Temperature 6-10 Day Outlook - Precipitation

Not that there's a whole lot of moisture expected to be around (given the chart on the right), but seeing January weather in January is at least a little comforting. Perhaps we'll make our first run at single-digit weather too-- that has me more thinking comfort-ER. :-)

Update (4:30pm) - You will notice on the radar (and below on the warnings map) that rain, sleet, and snow are on the screen. This mess will become more of an issue overnight as temperatures drop to marginally freezing levels. Our far western and northern counties are under a Winter Weather Advisory for the possibility of light frozen precipitation coming in. This can take the form of light sleet, freezing rain, or even snow depending on the location. It is expected to stay light, but that also means it can sneak up on you when you're driving in the dark. Be careful!

Regional Radar/Satellite with Warnings Tracking

Accuweather Radar

From the Storm Prediction Center (below): Click For a Larger Image

Activity Overview Storm Outlook Watches Potential Watches Storm Reports
Temperatures HD Doppler Radar Estimated Rainfall Active Warnings
Current Temperatures HD Doppler Radar Estimated Rainfall Active NWS Warnings
Click For Larger Click For Interactive Radar Click For Larger Click For Larger

Have a great day everyone!


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