Our stubborn weather pattern continues this weekend, but on the one hand we can still sneak in some good times before the rain. The farther west you are, the more likely the rain comes in earlier, but folks to the east will be able to get both Saturday and Sunday in just fine. It's all because of a stubborn upper air pattern with a lot of blocking.
|GFS - 500mb Chart - Sunday through Wednesday|
Normally these 500mb chart would show the red blobs with a more of a "swinging door" motion, sweeping through a storm front over a relatively short period of time. In a blocking pattern like we've been in, instead we've got these "bowling ball" clusters that are cut off from the jet stream. Essentially the air swirls around the center instead of moves from west to east. This greatly slows its progress across the country (in this example, it takes from Sunday to Wednesday to go from Arkansas to the east coast-- definitely a slow-poke). All along its path it will be generating showers, with the steadiest rain on the eastern side of the system.
|NAM - Sunday||NAM - Monday||NAM - Tuesday|
Our Kentucky counties will get the most rain, followed by West Virginia, then Ohio. Here's the projections of rainfall we can expect over the next 48-hours.
|HAS Precipitation Forecast||HPC Precipitation Forecast|
Following this system's departure, we'll shift over to a more typical late-spring / summer weather pattern: The scattered afternoon shower and storm. Case in point:
|GFS - Thursday Morning||GFS - Thursday Evening|
At least we'll have plenty of opportunities for showers in the coming days. And when it's not raining, temperatures end up staying delightfully in the 70s.
|Regional Radar/Satellite with Warnings Tracking||
From the Storm Prediction Center (below): Click For a Larger Image
|Activity Overview||Storm Outlook||Watches||Potential Watches||Storm Reports|
|Temperatures||HD Doppler Radar||Estimated Rainfall||Active Warnings|
|Click For Larger||Click For Interactive Radar||Click For Larger||Click For Larger|
Have a great day everyone!