Improving skies for Mother's Day weekend, but watch the cold!

We'll be watching those showers finish out, but behind them comes another unseasonable chill.

If you like Mother's Day, West Virginia is the right place for it.

As most of you probably already know, Anna Jarvis led the campaign to enshrine Mother's Day as the "Second Sunday in May" and spent most of her life in the north-central part of the state. What you may not know is that towards the end of her life she became disillusioned with the commercialization of the holiday itself. One of the things she hated the most is that so many folks boiled down Mother's Day into a simplistic 'greeting card' holiday. She once snarkily remarked:

"A printed card means nothing except that you are too lazy to write to the woman who has done more for you than anyone in the world. And candy! You take a box to Mother—and then eat most of it yourself. A pretty sentiment."

Perhaps it's ironic that she never ended up marrying nor having any children. Anyway, make sure you ask Mom how she wants to best have her investment in your life commemorated. Surprises are nice, but so is getting it right :-)

This weekend we'll be pushing out the showers, but as soon as we're done with that the cold comes in.

HPC - Surface Map - Saturday Afternoon

There's a double-front set up this weekend. Saturday has showers in it, becoming more scattered during the day and finishing out from east to west. If anyone's got plans for the afternoon, there's "some" hope for dry skies, especially in Kentucky and Ohio. Clouds will break between fronts, with the second one arriving early Sunday morning. Most of the rain there will come in those early morning hours, already on their way out by church-time. Temperatures may well be at their warmest Sunday morning though. Any afternoon barbecues will have to deal readings falling through the 50s and a brisk wind building. Not exactly the perfect weather to be poolside. But the real chill is still yet to come.

GFS - Min Temps - Monday AM GFS - Min Temps - Tuesday AM

Both Monday and Tuesday mornings we'll have a real threat for frost, with many locations seeing their temperatures sink well into the 30s. It would be wise to take precautions for any tender plants and vegetables so that you don't lose your handiwork in just one night. It's certainly possible that we avoid frost as well, but the probabilities merit caution.

We won't spend long in the ice box though. Mid-May warmth is right around the corner, and could well end up feeling 'hot'...

GFS - 850mb Chart - Monday Morning GFS - 850mb Chart - Tuesday Afternoon

The "850 milibar (mb)" level represents a general altitude of around 5000-feet above the surface. Air pressure (measured in milibars) decreases as you go up in altitude, as you have a lessening weight of air above you the higher you go. Anyway, this height is generally seen as a great one to examine for low-level air flow within the atmosphere free from the influence of mountains and what-not below. Check out the warming that we're about to witness: Going from readings below 0°C all the way to seeing the 20°C line (in red) coming at us. Tuesday itself will start in the 30s but finish in the 70s, then the 80s come next for midweek.

Shake and bake comes to mind :-)

Regional Radar/Satellite with Warnings Tracking

Accuweather Radar

From the Storm Prediction Center (below): Click For a Larger Image

Activity Overview Storm Outlook Watches Potential Watches Storm Reports
Temperatures HD Doppler Radar Estimated Rainfall Active Warnings
Current Temperatures HD Doppler Radar Estimated Rainfall Active NWS Warnings
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Have a great day everyone!

-B

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