Good Tuesday morning to one and all.
As expected, our line of showers that bolted through yesterday has ushered in a return to the below-normal temperatures we've seen a lot this fall season so far. We're currently running about 5-degrees below normal for the month, even with the two recent 70+ degree days.
None of that anymore though...not this week.
|HPC - Surface Map - Tuesday PM|
High pressure is in town, and it will gradually move northeastward during the week, keeping us dry before once again setting up show as a "blocking high" over southeast Canada-- the perfect spot to help encourage coastal storm development.
|GFS - Wednesday Night||GFS - Monday Night|
The first one that generates misses too far east, but the second one sits around long enough to gather steam close to the usual Jersey Shore. This is getting to be a pattern in this early season-- something we'll be keeping a close eye on as we get to winter. The unseasonably warm western Atlantic water will lend itself to popping a lot of strong coastal systems, something we talked about in the recent installment of the Winter Season Forecast Preview.
|HPC - 5 Day Precipitation Projection - Through Saturday|
This projection may be smearing a little bit too much precipitation westward across the mountains (or be slightly contaminated from the departure from the most recent system). However, we'll keep an eye on things just in case. My sentiments are that we'll be entering another relatively dry stretch of weather that leaves us on the outside again of these coastal systems.
|Regional Radar/Satellite with Warnings Tracking||
From the Storm Prediction Center (below): Click For a Larger Image
|Activity Overview||Storm Outlook||Watches||Potential Watches||Storm Reports|
|Temperatures||HD Doppler Radar||Estimated Rainfall||Active Warnings|
|Click For Larger||Click For Interactive Radar||Click For Larger||Click For Larger|
Have a great day everyone!