Updated Below (most recent 1:15am February 1st)
Welcome to Thursday...
Take along the coat today, and be aware of the possibility for black ice on your drive into work. The winds will still be blowing and temperatures are a whole lot colder since yesterday. In some cases, more than 40-degrees colder. (you can check out the current temperatures on the updating maps below).
Now we can talk snow...
Yesterday was a pretty active day weatherwise, with the high winds, the spot flooding, etc. Now we can go back to looking longer range for weather beyond just today. This means snowfall.
We'll have several small systems scrape through the region in the coming days. Here are the general times we're looking at...
|NAM - Friday Morning||NAM - Saturday Evening||GFS - Sunday Evening|
Each one of these events have the risk of causing a bunch of nuisances (remember what barely more than 1" did to parts of our area last Friday?). However, the Saturday PM - Sunday time-frame has a Clipper system that may merit more attention.
Here's what the GFS is calling for snowfall:
|GFS - Projected Snowfall - Through Sunday|
Keep in mind this is over the course of several days, so there's a couple different events that make up these totals. I think looking at numbers like these are a little silly, but y'all love 'em :-) As we've seen so many times this year, the WV mountains should see double or triple (or more) what the lowlands get for snow. In fact, you all in the lowlands that are still pining for snow, don't be surprised if you get left in the lurch again-- remember, you have seen projections like this before in this season.
But first thing's first-- be very careful out on the roads and walkways today in case you come across some of those slick spots anticipated by the rude return of sub-freezing temperatures.
Update (7:45am) - There have been several reports of sticking snow and slick roads because of the arriving cold... here's what we're seeing on the highways this morning.
Highway Road Condition Reports
Update (6:45pm) - Folks in the southern valleys have been noticing high water issues for much of the day, as the Tug Fork (for example) has been running just over flood stage. This has resulted in tributary rivers backing up into yards and across area roads. It's going to take a little bit longer before the river-jam is broken, but at least the Tug is now receding...
Expect a pretty swift drop during the day Friday, followed by the corresponding drops on all the smaller rivers that are once again able to flow into it unimpeded. The Big Sandy will recede next, followed by the eventual crest of the Ohio River on Saturday night. Other rivers no doubt are riding high, and will follow the same sort of crest and fall schedule. On the maps, the Tug has the most issues, but the Kanawha River is also pretty swollen at Haddad Riverfront Park.
As far as the snow showers tonight-- we're still on track there. I'll probably post an update later tonight, though that's at the risk of this one blog post turning into something extra long. By the way, if there's any opinions out there, let me know if y'all prefer these updates at the bottom or at the top of the regular post. I obviously prefer them at the bottom, so that all the fresh stuff is next to the updating tracking maps, but I understand the pain of scrolling down and all that :-)
Update (1:15am February 1st) - As you can see on the tracking maps below, this quick-hitting clipper system is playing quite nicely, with even the possibility of hitting higher than the 1-3" of snow in places south of I-64 and in West Virginia. It's awesome looking outside, and better than what we saw all of last year too. The fluffy stuff rarely disappoints when it comes to photo opportunities. With temperatures heading down into the teens (brr!) it becomes a tricky exercise trying to get the high end of the snowfall range right. We're only talking about 0.1" or so of liquid equivalent, but yet the ratio of water to snow might be as high as 50:1 instead of the normal 10:1. Tony and I were talking about this very thing last night (as in earlier Thursday).
I bet a ton of schools will be delayed and/or cancelled today... Fluffy or not, it is at least deeper snow than some of the river-cities area has seen, so why not get a 3-day weekend out of it ;-) But, in the off-chance that it's not, don't forget about the cold. Those temperatures today will struggle to get above 20. Bundle up while you take all the pictures of sledding and snow-man making that you've been waiting to do all this time. I'll be on air starting at 4:30am to talk more about all of this.
...And we've got another event coming Saturday(!)
|Regional Radar/Satellite with Warnings Tracking||
From the Storm Prediction Center (below): Click For a Larger Image
|Activity Overview||Storm Outlook||Watches||Potential Watches||Storm Reports|
|Temperatures||HD Doppler Radar||Estimated Rainfall||Active Warnings|
|Click For Larger||Click For Interactive Radar||Click For Larger||Click For Larger|
Have a great day everyone!