Hooray for Friday! :-)
Rainfall totals in the harder hit areas yesterday hit 2-3", easily matching the expected values from the computer models (and in some cases exceeding). That was part of an extended frontal boundary we've been discussing this week. Fortunately, we'll be in a drier position today on the colder side of the storm system.
So while the front is below us, the skies will be dry, even sneaking in a little sunshine. But, given the unsettled weather pattern, it's not going to be like that for long. By Saturday we'll be back into the rain showers. Saturday is going to be a pretty tricky day, because even though the atmosphere looks straight-forward on a weather map that shows the fronts, examining the temperatures tells a different story:
|NAM - Temperatures - Saturday PM|
This is another reason why hi-resolution modeling comes in handy. When computers get stronger and more powerful we'll be able to run these models out further into the future, but for now these only go out a couple of days. Take a look at this image. Notice that for the state of West Virginia the models are trying to put high temperatures in the 40s all the way to the low 80s. Along I-77 south of Charleston, there is a really tight packing of temperature change (and north/south of I-64). No doubt this will quite difficult to accurately display the weather in one single temperature on a 7-Day graphic. So please be kind if it's 10 (or 20) degrees off ;-)
Here's the GFS rendering of temperature for the next few days. Typical April stuff:
|GFS - Max Temps - Friday
||GFS - Max Temps - Satudray||GFS - Max Temps - Sunday
Check out the 7-Day forecast below for a look at the forecast right into next week. Our humid weather pattern will continue, with a few breaks in there too. If I had to pick, Friday and Monday are going to be the driest. I wish it were Saturday and Sunday, but not so much this time around.
Here are your maps :-)
|Regional Radar/Satellite with Warnings Tracking||
From the Storm Prediction Center (below): Click For a Larger Image
|Activity Overview||Storm Outlook||Watches||Potential Watches||Storm Reports|
|Temperatures||HD Doppler Radar||Estimated Rainfall||Active Warnings|
|Click For Larger||Click For Interactive Radar||Click For Larger||Click For Larger|
Have a great day everyone!