Not the direction the snow-lovers want it to go...

Sunshine comes back into the mix today, and temperatures take a warmer turn (after a frosty start this morning). Also, a dry stretch ahead, making it nothing like the slow walk toward winter.

Sunday SUNDAY Sunday!

It's a chilly start to be sure around here, with plenty of patchy fog to go around. But, we're entering a changing weather pattern-- and most folks would call it a change for the better. High pressure is back in the mix, and we're going to move quickly from the cold side to the warm side today.

HPC - Sunday PM

At first we'll begin with calm winds as the high sits right over-top of us, but eventually work ourselves into a pattern of southwesterly breezes that will get those temperatures moving. Today will be an excellent day to catch the peak fall foliage off the mountains-- though the winds of the past few days have knocked some of the color off the trees. Nevertheless, it will still add to the spectacle because those fallen leaves are still full of color and surely haven't been picked up yet (definitely not at my house anyway).

In the days ahead, we'll be seeing temperatures swing back above normal, and may well end up 20-degrees warmer on average than what we had yesterday. Here's a look at some maps from the GFS:

GFS - Sunday AM GFS - Tuesday AM GFS - Thursday PM

I have placed a dotted-yellow line on the map where the 14-degree celsius isotherm (line of equal temperature-- at the 850mb level) exists on each map. Beginning with today, you can see that warmer air is blocked much farther back into the Mississippi Valley. As we move to the later part of the week, another large typical-for-October storm system again moves into the mid-west and generates some serious warm air advection our way (that yellow line shows the warmth engulfing us by Thursday afternoon). These temperatures at the mile-high altitude level correlates as high as the upper 70s at the surface. Toasty.

And, oh yeah. The initial warm-front arm of this developing system will swing northward through our area early Tuesday, bringing showers oh-so-close to the region. At this point, we'll be looking at just sections of Ohio getting wet, but it's still early. As far as that big storm out west looming for the weekend..? That one can make things interesting as we get to the final weekend in October. We'll be talking about that in the coming days. Any questions..? Put'em in the comments below.

Regional Radar/Satellite with Warnings Tracking

Accuweather Radar

From the Storm Prediction Center (below): Click For a Larger Image

Activity Overview Storm Outlook Watches Potential Watches Storm Reports
Temperatures HD Doppler Radar Estimated Rainfall Active Warnings
Current Temperatures HD Doppler Radar Estimated Rainfall Active NWS Warnings
Click For Larger Click For Interactive Radar Click For Larger Click For Larger

Have a great day everyone!

-B

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