Not what I would call "December"

Temperatures continue to be well above normal (after a much colder than normal November), and we finally come across a few opportunities for precipitation.

Sunday SUNDAY Sunday!

Greetings, sports fans :-) Before I get into the forecasting, I just wanted to give a big shout-out to the great football seasons of our local teams that made it all the way to the state championships. Fairview (A) and Belfry (AAA) in Kentucky, as well as Wahama (A), Wayne (AA), and Cabell-Midland (AAA) in West Virginia. It was quite a strong showing for the area. In the end, The Wahama White Falcons won their first state championship with an overtime victory, and the Wayne Pioneers dominated the entire season for their 2nd consecutivie state title. And with that, the high school football season is at an end-- where did all the time go.

One of the oddities about it is that now that the season's done and we're into December, December itself isn't really showing up. I know a lot of folks have been enjoying the warmer than normal temperatures, but it's precisely the opposite that should be riding in for the days before Christmas, you know?

HPC - Surface Map - Sunday Evening

I've drawn in the orange arrows to show that there's a whole lot more warmer air heading northward these days than cold air coming southward. We've got a northern-track jet stream these days, seemingly balancing out the pattern that marked our late October and early November. Today is a day that showers are coming in, though they won't represent a whole lot of rainfall.

NAM - Sunday Early PM NAM - Monday Morning

A nice initial piece of rain comes in later this afternoon, but then fades somewhat beyond that as the good energy takes off to the north leaving us only with stragglers. In the end, it's not going to be a lot for the dry ground.

As discussed before, we do have another shot at rain for Tuesday night into Wednesday, but this one also looks to be a quick-mover that lacks cold air.

GFS - Tuesday PM GFS - Wednesday AM

The cold air is still locked up at the Canadian border, and the connection to the Gulf of Mexico moisture fetch falls apart when the front makes it to the Appalachian Mountains-- typical stuff. It's the sort of thing that makes me find a silver lining in that if we have to deal with non-wintry weather and unseasonably mild temperatures, then we might as well get it in and out at the beginning of the month and still have hope for the Christmas side of the month. At least, it sounds good when I say it out loud ;-)

Check out those 7-Day temperatures below. Remember, for this time of year, our afternoon highs are supposed to be in the low-to-mid 50s.

Regional Radar/Satellite with Warnings Tracking

Accuweather Radar

From the Storm Prediction Center (below): Click For a Larger Image

Activity Overview Storm Outlook Watches Potential Watches Storm Reports
Temperatures HD Doppler Radar Estimated Rainfall Active Warnings
Current Temperatures HD Doppler Radar Estimated Rainfall Active NWS Warnings
Click For Larger Click For Interactive Radar Click For Larger Click For Larger

Have a great day everyone!



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