Perhaps the best day of summer arrives just in time

...but the week ahead has a few murky spots.

Good Sunday morning everyone!

I hope many of you got a chance to check out the Perseid meteor shower. I actually was able to see a bunch of meteors right from the steps of my house despite living in the city. (That's good news, because it shows you don't have to go out into the wilderness in order to see them).

Today continues our time underneath the spreading influence of high pressure, which will not only keep the Sun out, but also give us some real pleasant temperatures. This time of year we're still suppose to top out in the mid 80s in the afternoon. Yesterday Huntington hit only 74 degrees (Charleston 76, and Parkersburg 73). Today looks to crest just around 80-- make plans to go outside today. It just might be the best day we've got all summer, conveniently placed the day before most kids head back to school.

Once we make the turn into next week, the picture won't be as wonderful. Here's the surface map for Monday that will describe what we're talking about:

HPC - Surface Map - Monday

...So thre's a storm system on the way, slated to move into the Ohio Valley later Monday into Tuesday. As a forecaster, it's nice to get back into this pattern of actual frontal systems rather than trying to spot where the pop-up storm will form amidst a sea of soupy humidity. Let's see what the models have for arrival time...

GFS - Surface Map - Tuesday 8am NAM - Surface Map - Tuesday 2pm CMC - Surface Map - Tuesday 8pm

They're sort-of all over the place on timing, but Tuesday certainly appears to be the most likely candidate for the first showers coming in. One issue that will be digested is whether or not we'll be hearing thunder with this one. My gut tells me we will, as we're still in the time of year where any front sweeping through will have at least something with it. The GFS is showing a deteriorating system that concentrates on the lakes, while the others are stronger. Temperatures do not appear to want to get out of hand before the rain starts, so expect to creep toward the mid 80s on Monday.

A second frontal system comes in later in the week, with another cool-down is currently slated for the next weekend (no complaints from me!)

Regional Radar/Satellite with Warnings Tracking

Accuweather Radar

From the Storm Prediction Center (below): Click For a Larger Image

Activity Overview Storm Outlook Watches Potential Watches Storm Reports
Temperatures HD Doppler Radar Estimated Rainfall Active Warnings
Current Temperatures HD Doppler Radar Estimated Rainfall Active NWS Warnings
Click For Larger Click For Interactive Radar Click For Larger Click For Larger

Have a great day everyone!

-B

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