Update 2 (8/3) - The remnants of last nights storm clusters in central Kentucky didn't even make it to Lexington before fizzling this morning, but you always have to keep a finger on where the outflow boundaries are. A pretty decent amount of mid-level energy has managed to kick-start it back up precisely when it has inched its way to our area. If you follow it on Doppler below, you'll see showers and storms massing on our western side heading east. There does not appear to be any way that Kentuckians make it out dry, but a lot of those in the Kanawha Valley aren't near these yet. There's going to be a wide range in max temperatures today-- with those up closer to Parkersburg and on into WV getting into the 90s, and folks in Kentucky perhaps avoiding even 80 in some of those storms. Such is the weather we can get around here :-) Keep checking the maps to stay ontop of the situation, but it's not expected that these storms go severe.
Spot flooding in a prolonged downpour...that's a different story, especially for the already waterlogged sections of eastern Kentucky.
Update (8/3) - The forecast is on track, so this update to the blog will be brief. We're going to be steaming up yet again this afternoon, with temperatures 90 and above for most of us. There will indeed be a shot at isolated storms this time around, but primarily in the southern mountains.
We'll see a few more on Saturday afternoon, but the most active day still figures to be Sunday. Some good news will be that temperatures will shade cooler when the clouds come around.
Welcome to Thursday!
High pressure (weak as it may be) has finally penetrated the morass of unsettled air that has been around these past few days. A comfortable start to the morning will mean patchy dense fog in those valleys and particularly where it has rained, so here's some special products that can help us spot where it is:
|GOES-13 Fog Product (Experimental)||GOES-13 Fog Depth Estimate|
Once the Sun comes up, we'll be quickly back to sunshine. Here's the surface map for the afternoon, courtesy of HPC:
|HPC - Thursday Afternoon|
It's still a very weak weather pattern, with piddly areas of low pressure and piddly areas of high pressure-- but at least this time we've got the high :-) Notice the floundering trough is now just east of the Appalachians, so we won't be tracking storms this afternooon.
Temperatures today will be inching up from yesterday, building on the extended presence of sunshine. Expect 90-degree weather to be common place. It will be even warmer Friday, which should be the peak of our mini heat-wave. Saturday also figures to be up around 90, but by then we'll be back to watching for the afternoon pop-up thunderstorms.
|GFS - Saturday Evening||GFS - Sunday Evening|
Sunday figures to be the better shot for rain where you live, but both Saturday and Sunday will have those afternoon storms prowling around.
|Regional Radar/Satellite with Warnings Tracking||
From the Storm Prediction Center (below): Click For a Larger Image
|Activity Overview||Storm Outlook||Watches||Potential Watches||Storm Reports|
|Temperatures||HD Doppler Radar||Estimated Rainfall||Active Warnings|
|Click For Larger||Click For Interactive Radar||Click For Larger||Click For Larger|
Have a great day everyone!