Welcome to your Saturday!
I suppose I need to apologize for the rain on your weekend-- but it had to get here sometime (and personally I prefer cooler weather, at least in March). Because of the showers yesterday, we'll keep an eye on things in case more downpours over the same places trigger flooding. Here's what the current anticipation is for rainfall:
|HAS Precipitation Forecast||HPC Precipitation Forecast|
Presently, the "rain conversation" is moving closer to the Kanawha Valley and up I-79, as our low pressure system is expected to re-develop and strengthen as it meets the Atlantic Ocean. Here's a look at how the models are handling it:
|GFS - Saturday 8pm||WRF - Saturday 8pm|
|GFS - Sunday 8pm||WRF - Sunday 8pm|
Though a lot of the moisture will be heading out of town by Sunday evening, the eastern mountains will catch a bigger piece of this strengthening system offshore.
As we've been talking about before, the temperatures will now be cooling down with help from the rain, but by the time we get to the start of next week, we just may be seeing 'below normal' temperatures for a change (particularly in the morning). We'll get to this tomorrow on the blog, but let's just say "frost" is in the cards. Hopefully we've all been listening to John Marra and not planted things far out of season because of the warmth. I've actually been going in the opposite direction at my house-- trying to get rid of things that are 'green'...Ugh, so many weeds and overgrown nonsense so early. Perhaps we need a "Brown Thumb" report to help people like me out on how to kill plants :-)
But enough about that... time for tracking tools...
Update 6:30pm - There is a Severe Thunderstorm Watch in effect for the counties along and east of I-79 (not including Kanawha county). As you can see below on the larger regional radar map there is a lot of twisting going on in the atmosphere. That shear has set off a few tornadoes-- but all east of the mountains in Southwest Virginia (see the SPC storm reports map below). As we were saying in the past few days, we were looking for this area to be targeted more than the river-cities area. There should still be alternating bands of drier and wetter lines of moisture, as the radar continues to indicate, but after sunset things will wind down a bit. Come tomorrow it should fire back up again, but primarily it will be these folks in the eastern mountains that would have to worry about possible flooding or severe weather.
|Regional Radar/Satellite with Warnings Tracking||
From the Storm Prediction Center (below): Click For a Larger Image
|Activity Overview||Storm Outlook||Watches||Potential Watches||Storm Reports|
|Temperatures||HD Doppler Radar||Estimated Rainfall||Active Warnings|
|Click For Larger||Click For Interactive Radar||Click For Larger||Click For Larger|
Have a great day everyone!
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