Spotting some breaks...

We've already established we're in the midst of a tropical, wetter-than-normal pattern. So instead of trying to nail down times and places for showers, how about we try finding places for sunshine...

Good Sunday morning everyone!

This early morning certainly starts off quieter than yesterday's, but overall most spots were able to see some good enough breaks in the skies to get out and about. I did see some Flash Flood Warnings in southern Kentucky late, with about 2" of rain fallen there. The Huntington area received between a half-inch and inch of rain (depending on what side of the interstate you were on), and Charleston wound up with about 1.25". Even still, 15 of the 24 hours of Saturday was rain-free in Charleston, and the same for Huntington.

So where do we stand now..?

HPC Surface Map - Sunday Afternoon

Our weakened and stalled-out boundary is starting to ripple a little bit, but otherwise still able to provide the pathway for bundles of energy to ride along it and make use of the tropical air overhead. Notice how there are very little pressure deviations north and south of the boundary. Little wind flow means fog in the morning, but it should be gone by 9 or 10. Once again we're primarily focusing on the southern half of the area for downpour potential, and at that it will be in a few patches (there's even such a pocket of rain moving along the southern Kentucky border as I write this). Check out the radar map below to follow the bundles as they move eastward. Expect breaks for hazy sunshine in between.

Now, about that sunshine...

Okay, so yesterday's blog post already discussed the on-average wetter pattern that we've been in, and that it's going to continue through the next week or two. However unlike early July we won't be under the gun every day through that period. Monday is one of those times we'll look for a break for sunshine, even if we don't get a full 24-hours of it.

NAM and GFS - Monday Afternoon

These two models are in fairly good agreement that we'll be in between episodes of showers for much of the daylight hours tomorrow. Cloud-level humidity as indicated by the GFS has a little breathing room where it's just 'not moist' (because I wouldn't call it dry), and the NAM is showing a break as well. This will get temperatures into the mid 80s, but will certainly feel steamy. Watch for more rain to approach as the Sun goes down.

This makes tonight, and probably not Monday night, as a good time to try to check out the annual Perseid Meteor Shower. If the skies do clear for you, here's where you should look (from astronomy.com):

The next opportunity we'll have for sunshine comes Wednesday into Thursday, but the problem here is that same old annoying theme we've had for much of the summer-- that gives the forecaster fits but only in this part of the country:

GFS - 700mb Relative Humidity

We cover a large area here at WSAZ, so judging from these maps we'll have some folks in the north reporting some pretty nice weather overhead while others in the south shaking their heads...again. Hopefully that dividing line pushes southward like it's trying to do for points west. That will open more of us up to sunshine, but also bring in those campfire morning temperatures that are oh so great for AC-free sleeping. As we make the turn into late August it will be these appearances of low humidity that will be the first indicators of that sunrise fall chill. For now, the 50s will still suffice.

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Have a great day everyone!

-B

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