Update (1:30am Friday) - Our line of gusty showers are passing through the Charleston area right now, but the shower field is more fractured than that. It extends westward still into Kentucky. All of the severe weather stayed concentrated to the south, so we ended up with a pretty tame event (which is just fine). Gusts hung out around 30mph with the initial push of the line. Temperatures have already slid back into the 50s now-- and we'll be there for a couple of days.
Update (6:00pm) - The storms are now getting closer, as indicated on the storm tracking radars below, and fairly closely following the modeling. If you've seen from the SPC guidelines, the focus of best severe thunderstorm convection lies well to our south, so hopefully we can just get by with some good ground-watering rains and less-than-severe gusts of winds. But there will be both-- there aren't many other ways to go from highs in the 80s to highs in the 50s the next day.
Greetings everyone :-)
We've been talking about it all week, so it's time to see what kind of action we're going to be looking at today. As described previously, we'll be tracking the progression and development of a line of thunderstorms across Kentucky. Here's what the latest NAM Models expect to see happen with this thing:
|NAM - Thursday Afternoon||NAM - Friday Midnight||NAM - Friday Morning|
This indicates an even later arrival time than previously modeled (the runs have been trending toward the later times). This opens up the day to all outdoor activities (as in: No panicking), however starting with the big heating hours of the day, like right around when the kids leave school, it will be a good thing to start checking out how things situate on the weather map. This is our first run at severe weather potential, so let's make it go as smoothly as we can :-)
|SPC - Hail Threat||SPC - Wind Threat||SPC - Tornado Threat|
These maps reflect the specific breakdown of the different types of severe weather possibilities. They are actually all represented in a notable way, though wind and hail are the big ones for us to focus on. Wherever this line will be in Kentucky after 2pm and before sunset is where the worst may occur, and fortunately it seems like it will be just to our west. But please check back frequently for more on this, as any change can spell a little extra juice coming to our counties. Moreover, folks in our eastern counties are still going to be dealing with some thunder right into the morning drive Friday. Perhaps we all get awakened by thunder at some point-- even us early risers :-)
Be safe everyone, and I will make any update and/or answer comments posted below if and when I can.
|Regional Radar/Satellite with Warnings Tracking||
From the Storm Prediction Center (below): Click For a Larger Image
|Activity Overview||Storm Outlook||Watches||Potential Watches||Storm Reports|
|Temperatures||HD Doppler Radar||Estimated Rainfall||Active Warnings|
|Click For Larger||Click For Interactive Radar||Click For Larger||Click For Larger|
Have a great day everyone!