Update - Stubborn showers continue, but become more cyclical

Expect showers. Secondly, expect them more in the afternoon.

Wednesday Update - Our pattern continues this morning, with more leftover showers from the overnight fading, but fog also increasing toward dawn.

GOES-13 Fog Product (Experimental) GOES-13 Fog Depth Estimate

It'll be another touch n' go day of scattered showers, with the fewest in the mid-late morning hours, and the most in the afternoon and early morning. Any slip-in of sunshine and temperatures will rise toward the 70s but also throw in a risk of thunder. No severe weather is expected, but lots of flooding has occured on the outher side of the mountains to the east/south. We're now getting a taste of what saturated ground looks like (it's been a while), so we'll keep an eye on those streams and creeks. Feel free to continue to monitor the continuously updating tracking graphics and maps below.

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Good Tuesday morning everyone!

More showers dot the region today, as our stubborn low-pressure system continues to swirl. The models are indicating a little weakening though, or more appropriately some banding, where the showers will douse some folks and leave others alone. Not everyone will see the showers all the time, nor anyone getting rained on all day long.

Here's a look at the cycle we'll be dealing with the next couple of days:

NAM - Tuesday Morning NAM - Tuesday Afternoon

...and again on Wednesday:

NAM - Wednesday Morning NAM - Wednesday Morning

So then, expect a lull in the morning hours, then a flare-up in the afternoon in conjunction with the heating hours of the day. Here's what we're looking at for 48-hour rainfall projections:

HAS Precipitation Forecast HPC Precipitation Forecast

 We all need rain, but the bulk will fall from Beckley to Summersville on southeast of there across the mountains (all the upslope energy is focused on the Atlantic side of the Appalachians). As we talked about yesterday, this system continues to meander around the east coast until another system kicks it out.

This next system bears watching as well, because the models continue to indicate another deep plunge of cold air:

GFS - Monday Morning Euro - Monday Morning

That red-dashed line, remember that from winter? We use it to identify the general vicinity of the rain/snow line (and we're on the snow side-- eesh). In May, this won't mean we'll be getting snow, but highs struggling in the 50s and lows in the 30s are still on the table.

Regional Radar/Satellite with Warnings Tracking

Accuweather Radar

From the Storm Prediction Center (below): Click For a Larger Image

Activity Overview Storm Outlook Watches Potential Watches Storm Reports
Temperatures HD Doppler Radar Estimated Rainfall Active Warnings
Current Temperatures HD Doppler Radar Estimated Rainfall Active NWS Warnings
Click For Larger Click For Interactive Radar Click For Larger Click For Larger

Have a great day everyone!

-B

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