Good morning weather afficionados!
I hope you all have been enjoying the warm skies as of late. It certainly has been a bit of a hair-pull trying to pinpoint who's going to get scraped by a stray pop-up shower in the afternoon-- you would think that kind of thing was left behind back in summer ;-) Thursday saw a bunch of us hear thunder while Friday was a bit quiet.
The models are still trying to toss in showers during the heating hours of the day for Saturday, and then surging them northward for Sunday.
Saturday will prove to be the trickier day with these isolated showers that would put a temporary damper on the day if they happen upon you while you're outside festivating :-) At this point I would make sure I gave at least a thought to them if I'm going to be outside for many hours of the day (Marshall fans), but sunscreen will still end up being more necessary than the umbrella. Unchecked, these temperatures are going to be in the mid 80s, more than 10 degrees above normal.
Sunday's temperatures now look to be the same, as a surge of southerly air thrusts the moisture field north of us before the front arrives later in the day. The good news is that Sunday itself is looking better and better for your outdoor barbecues (in October? Sure), but don't forget that front is still coming and will impact us late in the day onward into Monday.
Though others get more, it's still a good drink of water coming to the Tri-State as this front rolls through. We're going to have to watch the overnight Sunday/Monday period for the potential of strong thunderstorms as there's a big change in air mass on the way between one side of the front and the other. (Gusty winds would be the main expectation). That big blob of rain down in the central Gulf is naturally "Karen" and we'll keep an eye on her progress as well, though she's looking less and less of a real threat to our weather...
National Hurricane Center - Tropical Storm Karen
Actually, it's Karen that is looking less and less of a threat to anybody ;-) Well, never forget that the rains tropical systems can bring are always a danger. For our purposes, we need a bit of rain, so if a couple inches comes by, we can handle it.
Of course October is always full of them, so this coming cool-down should come as no surprise. Following the departure of this front, we'll get a modified taste of the cold air that brought the first snows to the northern plains earlier in the week. For us, that means highs in the 60s instead of the mid and upper 80s. That's a difference you can feel.
...And it's a difference that should feel nice :-)
So, keep an eye on the radars below when planning your day today.
Have a great day everyone!