The cycle continues

Cooler-than-normal weather sticks around for the return to the work-week, and so does the risk for scattered afternoon showers. A slow warming trend arrives later in the week.

Back to Monday everyone! (I'll be back on the air tomorrow...promise!)

We'll be waking up to the same sort of weather that has had our focus during the weekend. The same area of low pressure is still slothfully pulling away, and still lobbing back a few scattered showers our way:

HPC - Monday PM 500mb Upper Air Pattern

Even though the surface trough is moving off-shore, the low pressure area aloft is still quite close and able to influence our weather overhead. As I've said before, the weather doesn't just occur at the ground level, and what happens in many different layers of the atmosphere all influence each other. What this means for us locally is that despite a good start to the day, as temperatures rise at the ground they will still be cold aloft. Eventually, during the afternoon, there will be a maximum difference between the warmer air at the surface and the colder air aloft. This sets up a region of unstable air in place that will have-- you guessed it: showers popping up. The NAM SimRadar is also keen to this as well:

NAM SimRadar - Monday 12pm NAM SimRadar - Monday 4pm

See... Wonderful start to the day... Everything's going well, then out come a few showers. Don't expect them to be particularly meaningful-- just a little on the annoying side. (We'll have to see if the SimRadar nails the timing perfectly, until then look at this as a rather general 'afternoon' thing).

Though none of the days ahead will have any plan-changing rains in the forecast, it's still going to be touch-and-go in the afternoon for folks who need it to be guaranteed not to rain. High pressure finally comes to the rescue after mid-week, taking all the way to Friday to get established:

GFS - Thursday AM GFS - Friday AM

Cooler than normal temperatures still hang around through the whole period-- not that there's anything wrong with that. Eventually we'll get back to our warmer selves, but just like everything else, it's going to take all week to pull off.

GFS - MaxTemps - Wednesday GFS - MaxTemps - Thursday GFS - MaxTemps - Friday

It looks like this week will feel pretty good out on the golf course. A final note: Pleasant temperatures in the summertime are often the precursor to your worst sunburns :-) Just because it feels so nice out there, doesn't mean you can't get burned. Just a thought...

Regional Radar/Satellite with Warnings Tracking

Accuweather Radar

Temperatures HD Doppler Radar Estimated Rainfall Active Warnings
Current Temperatures HD Doppler Radar Estimated Rainfall Active NWS Warnings
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Have a great day everyone!



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