Update (9/3) - Just a quick note on this Labor Day Monday... The forecast is still looking good; keep an eye on the Doppler this afternoon with scattered storms re-firing in the weak circulation left over from Isaac. Downpours are always going to be a threat in this tropical air mass, so while you don't need to cancel any plans it's a good idea to have an answer for what you're going to do when the rain comes.
Good Sunday morning to you all.
We experienced a good taste of what's to come just yesterday. Many areas were rain free, even with a patch of blue skies, until the afternoon when the showers showed up en masse. The result in some places was more than 1" of rain, combined with high temperatures at a steamy 90-degrees.
Today will feature the same sporadic showers, primarily in the afternoon, but with the rain from yesterday dampening the ground we probably won't be hitting 90 this time during any break. Here's what the high-resolution simulated radar has for us:
|NAM - SimRadar - Sunday Mid-Morning||NAM - SimRadar - Sunday Evening||NAM - SimRadar - Monday Evening
Like we were talking about yesterday, though there are still patches of heavy rain left around in the morning, we're definitely at a minimum of rain coverage in the tri-state area (see radar below). As we get to the afternoon, the heating of the day will flare up again. There is more than enough energy still swirling around to be set off with the time comes.
These showers will be around all the way through Labor Day weekend and into Tuesday. It's not a rain-out everywhere, but each day will put rain in the gauge. Here's what we're looking at for projected totals...
|HAS Precipitation Forecast||HPC Precipitation Forecast|
The bulk of the heaviest rains overall look to be targeted outside our area, but we'll still get more than we've seen (Charleston got 4 TIMES as much rain just yesterday than it did in the entire month of August).
...And we're not out of the rain threat yet.
|GFS - Wednesday Night|
Not only do we have a stalled out boundary annoying us on the other side of the Appalachians, but also another approaching front from the west.
Here's a look at what we can expect in the coming days in terms of temperature and precipitation compared to normal:
|6-10 Day Outlook - Temperature||6-10 Day Outlook - Precipitation|
We'll have to see whether we get these below normal temperatures. I suspect showery skies would have a lot to do with it.
|Regional Radar/Satellite with Warnings Tracking||
From the Storm Prediction Center (below): Click For a Larger Image
|Activity Overview||Storm Outlook||Watches||Potential Watches||Storm Reports|
|Temperatures||HD Doppler Radar||Estimated Rainfall||Active Warnings|
|Click For Larger||Click For Interactive Radar||Click For Larger||Click For Larger|
Have a great day everyone!