Good Thursday morning to all y'all out there :-)
Rain showers will be the theme of the day today, but as per yesterday's discussion (and experience), they shouldn't be everywhere all the time. However, this is probably not the day for long periods of time outside-- unless you want to get wet. Here's an idea of the kind of rain we're going to be looking at:
|HAS Precipitation Forecast||HPC Precipitation Forecast|
A good soaking for a lot of folks-- and most of that happens today. Going forward though, it does look like we might be able to pick out a hole that's big enough to fit through. Consider the next few days worth of GFS modeling:
|GFS - Thursday PM||GFS - Friday PM||GFS - Saturday PM|
Friday looks like we have a little window of opportunity, yes? However, keep in mind the models are also dipping down the temperatures too. As stated before, the temperatures may end up being widely varying depending on whether one is above or below the rainfall. Tracking the red line on the above maps can help a lot, because they have presently been representing temperatures in the upper 60s fairly well these days. When you see the skies part for nice weather, perhaps it might be good to play the role of a cynic, and half-expect more showers within hours. By Saturday, the rain heads back in for a few afternoon soakers.
All told, here's the amount of rainfall HPC is modeling through the weekend:
|HPC - Total Rainfall - Through Monday AM|
Still relatively consistent from the past few days. Considering any thunderstorm can probably manage at least 1" of rain over a localized area, each of us will get one, maybe two downpours this week given the statement made by the above map. Of course, unless it's wrong-- and we've already talked about the very fickle nature of these showers when it comes to pinpointing their bulls-eyes days in advance. Just like yesterday, those in the showers will struggle to the low 60s, while those outside of them cruise past 70.
Full suite of tracker tools today! :-)
|Regional Radar/Satellite with Warnings Tracking||
From the Storm Prediction Center (below): Click For a Larger Image
|Activity Overview||Storm Outlook||Watches||Potential Watches||Storm Reports|
|Temperatures||HD Doppler Radar||Estimated Rainfall||Active Warnings|
|Click For Larger||Click For Interactive Radar||Click For Larger||Click For Larger|
Have a great day everyone!