Good Monday to one and all and thanks for dropping by the blog. We are coming off of another awesome weather weekend that featured sunshine and temps in the 60s. Perfect to get out and just enjoy life a little bit! I hope you guys did just that because changes to the overall pattern will be taking place this week that may lead us into a winter type pattern next week.

The changes come this week in the form of a cut off low pressure that will meander through the Ohio Valley and great lakes. This will bring us a decent shot of showers to go along with some cooler temps. The rains should stay to our west today and you can track them here...



It is once into later Tuesday  that we start feeling the effects of the upper low as clouds and showers increase from west to east. This set us up to see the highest rain chances for Wednesday into Thursday. You can see how this plays out here...

GFS Tuesday Evening



GFS Wednesday Afternoon



Temps will be tricky during this time. Highs for Tuesday will come down into he 50s to around 60... but that really depends on if it is raining at your house. By Wednesday and Thursday.. the showers will be rather chilly as temps come down into the high 40s to low 50s.

Here is how the forecast looks...

The showers will try to pull away later Thursday. Right now it looks like Friday turns into a decent day before a disturbance moves closer by the weekend and we will have to watch to see if this will be strong enough for a few showers.

Thanksgiving week is when some real changes begin to show up across North America as our pattern grows active and much colder air finally begins it's push back into the country. This was talked about in our November forecast that we put on the blog back on November 1st. We said it would be a back and forth pattern until Thanksgiving week when cold air would make a run at us and try to skew the month colder than normal. That appears to be the case as of right now.

GFS Tuesday Nov. 24th



Thanksgiving



Black Friday



The GFS is trying to cook up some fun and games for parts of the country next week... now let's see if Mother Nature can deliver.

I will try to update things later today so check back. Have a great Monday and take care.