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Good Friday to one and all and welcome to a half and half kinda weekend!  You will get a good start to things before some showers move in to end this little thing we call a weekend. That will bring us into Thanksgiving week and a change in the overall pattern that is likely to lead into Old Man Winter coming out of his slumber.

The good news on the weather front is that today into Saturday look great with temps in the 50s under partly sunny skies. Make sure to enjoy it as things will be changing by Sunday as showers work in from the southwest...


The rain moving in for Sunday should not be anything major... but should deliver us a gentle light, chilly rainfall. This coming from a storm out of the Gulf of Mexico...

GFS Sunday Morning


It should be noted for future storms that the GFS has come back to the northwest with this system after saying we had NO shot at any rains from this. The model has a southeast bias with the placement of southern stream lows and this is very evident in the fall and winter months. Remember that as we roll into winter...

The showers will move away come Monday as we will be between systems. The next one arrives on the scene Tuesday with the threat for some late day showers. It is beyond this that the waters get muddied somewhat on what happens for the days around Thanksgiving. Does a big storm try to form somewhere across the plains to eastern part of the country? Or do we see a simple colder air mass coming in with some rain or snow showers across the Ohio Valley as the GFS suggests...

GFS Thanksgiving Morning






I am interested to see how the end of next week plays out as there is some potential I am seeing with the setup. I am loving what I am seeing toward the first few weeks of December as winter may be ready to come on fast and furious.The indicies have been showing this for a few days now and I am told that the European Model weekly forecasts for December look brutal for cold and snow around here and for much of the eastern half of the country.

Have a great Friday and take care.