Good Saturday to one and all. I wanted to drop in for a quick update to get you guys caught up on what is likely to be an early start to winter as a fun and games pattern takes shape. The fun will get started later in the week as a deep trough digs in across the area for the middle and end of the week. This will likely give us our first flakes of the season and has a chance at giving us our first minor accumulation.

A cold front will sweep through Wednesday with showers. Low pressure will pop along the east coast of the US and will ride up the coast as a couple of disturbances dive in behind the low. These should produce snow showers starting Thanksgiving day into Black Friday. Here is the GFS P-type...



The European Model for Friday is one good looking map...



That low across the east may try to bend a little farther west and is something to, at least, keep an eye on. Temps for highs will likely not get out of the 30s for 2 or 3 days.

The timing on this matches EXACTLY what our November forecast called for as we said to expect something like this to start happening around Thanksgiving!

Beyond this... wow! The pattern for early December is loaded with cold and snow potential and is one that can produce something pretty extreme.  Who feels like doing this?



Take care.