Good Thursday everyone and thanks for checking out the blog. This is the time of year when we begin to shift gears from winter mode to spring mode and that means thunderstorms and the threat for severe weather start to take center stage. The threat for some booming storms will be with us over the next few days and that is something for us to keep an eye on and that is just what the blog will be doing.

We have talked and talked about the overall setup that finds low pressure across the plains states. This SLOW moving low is going to continue to sit and spin for a few more days and this puts us squarely into the warm sector. That means very mild temps roll on with temps today and Friday back into the 60s with 70 or a touch better possible for areas getting some decent sunshine.This also means an increasing threat for showers and storms.

The best threat for storms today will be just to our west where some severe weather will be possible as close by as central and western Kentucky. Here is the latest all inclusive severe weather map from the Storm Predication Center...



Take a look at how photogenic this storm is and at what a reach it has across the country here on Water Vapor...



It looks like a line of showers and storms will come rolling in from west to east later today with the best chance across the western parts of the tri state.You can track the line here on regional radar...




Friday will see a break in the action to start out the day before showers and storms get cranking again during the afternoon and evening hours. Here is what the GFS looks like during that time...

Friday Afternoon


Friday Evening


That takes us into the weekend and a much colder pattern that will set up. More on and off showers will be with us during this time and those will likely hold strong into Monday. Highs for Sunday and Monday will likely be in the chilly 40s. Areas across the West Virginia mountains will need to watch for the potential for some high water. Snow melt will combine with the rains to produce some rises on streams. I am hopeful we can get through this without any widespread flooding, but we will keep an eye on it.

The good news is that the sun and milder air will push in here for the middle and end of next week.

I will have updates on the storms as needed so make sure you check back. Have a great Thursday and take care.