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Good Thursday everyone and welcome to March Madness! We all know the basketball kind of madness that grips the country and especially the tri state. But... there is another kind of madness that we can sometimes get into around here this time of year and that comes from the weather. Your friendly weather dude has been, for a few weeks now, talking about the possibility of another taste of winter before true spring sets in. That taste may come later this weekend or early next week.

Between now and then... the weather is looking AWESOME! Highs today and Friday will warm well into the 60s across the board with a 70 possible Friday. Mainly sunny skies will be with us, though some early morning clouds will be noted out there today in some areas.

Saturday should be a very warm day as well as temps warm toward 70 in as sunny skies will be noted again.

A blast of winter will be working into the plains states by Friday and Saturday and will bring a lot of snow to some folks out there. It is this blast of cold that will be working eastward toward the region by Saturday night and Sunday and would carry over into Monday. The question is... how does this all work itself out? Some of the models have been bringing the front through here much quicker with cold and some snow by Sunday morning. Other models are slower with this as they develop a second low pressure along the front as it swings through here. That setup would bring the cold in by Sunday night into Monday and would have a better shot at putting down some accumulating snows during that time.

The NAM is on the fast track with the cold and snow.

NAM Sunday Morning


Check out what a temp gradient along the front...



As you can imagine... the NAM is also showing a quick transition from rain to snow...



Here is what the NAM thinks the snowfall will look like by Sunday morning...


While that is impressive... I have a hard time seeing much accumulation with a warm ground and temps above freezing. It's cool to look at though.

The other scenario is slower with the cold coming in as low pressure "pops" just to our east. This would give us a chance for snow Sunday night into Monday. You can see this on the European Model...


The GFS is looking very similar to the European with the slower setup...

GFS Sunday Evening


Monday Morning


Here is what the snowfall map from the GFS looks like through Monday...



We will see how it all plays out. But the moral of the story is... Old Man Winter may still have another trick up is sleeve later this weekend and early next week so enjoy these next few days.

Have a great Thursday and take care.