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A Wintry Mix For Some Today- 4pm Update

By: Chris Bailey
By: Chris Bailey

Rain, snow and cold temps move in today.

4pm Update

A wintry mix of light rain, sleet and snow continues to work along and south of Interstate 64. That trend will continue into the evening hours as our temps continue to drop toward the low 30s. The steady precip will move away by mid to late evening with a few lingering snow flurries possible.

There will be another shot of some light snow or flurries later Saturday into Saturday night.

Take care.

Previous Update

Good Friday everyone. There is an old saying about what a difference a day makes and it's certainly appropriate when describing our weather out there today. Thursday brought temps in the 60s with March like winds and now mother nature is smacking us back into reality with some rain and snow.

Temps today are going to be some 25-30 degrees colder than where we were 24 hours ago as most areas stay in the upper 30s for highs. This cold air is behind a front that's putting the brakes on just to our south. Low pressure is working along the boundary and is throwing moisture back into much of the region... especially along and south of Interstate 64.

Light rain increases from the southwest today and will gradually mix with and even change to a period of light snow this afternoon and early evening. Check out how some of the forecast models see the precipitation type playing out today...

GFS


NAM


Most of this will fall as light rain into early afternoon with some snow mixing in before a transition to wet snow by mid afternoon. Much of what falls should be melting, but it may snow just hard enough for a light accumulation on elevated surfaces in a few spots. A slushy accumulation is more than possible across the coalfields into the WV mountains.

Again... most of the precipitation will fall along and south of I-64. Track it all...






The mix will quickly end later this evening with temps dropping into the upper 20s by Saturday morning. Saturday should see highs mainly in the upper 30s and I am keeping an eye on a disturbance dropping in from the northwest. This may cause  light snow and flurries by Saturday night with accumulating snow likely into the mountains.

All eyes will then turn toward the next storm on the menu for Tuesday and Wednesday. The models all handle this differently as a few show a relatively weak storm, while others blow it up into something bigger. Odds strongly favor this bringing rain for Tuesday with the chance for colder air and a switch to a mix of snow on Wednesday.

Ironically... most of the models are in better agreement for Christmas Weekend and that's a good thing for those wanting a White Christmas. A nice trough swings in for the middle and end of next week allowing for a possible storm to get going by Friday. The models all show this to our east right now and give us a shot at some snow.

The GFS is even coming around to showing this system...



The GFS Ensembles have been all over the Christmas Weekend potential for a while now as they have been giving a strong signal.

The Canadian Model has also been signalling this for a while and continues to do so...



As always... we shall see.

I will have updates on today's rain and snow as needed here on the blog and via twitter. Have a great Friday and take care.

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