Rain On The Increase

By: Chris Bailey
By: Chris Bailey

Heavy rain will move in over the next few days as we wait on some wintry stuff by the weekend.

Good Wednesday everyone. We’re into the middle of the work week and our weather is about to take on a much different look as heavy rain overspreads the region. This rain will also come with another steep temperature spread from north to south and will usher in more of a wintry look and feel for the coming weekend.

Low pressure across the gulf states will continue to develop and slowly inch closer. This means an increase in moisture streaming in from the southwest. This is a juicy system that should put down a good 1″-2″ of rain for a lot of areas. The rain numbers from the GFS back that up…

The heaviest rain will fall Thursday into Thursday night and… wait for it… wait for it… some areas may hear a rumble of thunder. Shocked? Nah… me either.

Track today's action...

The temp gradient today into Thursday looks to be fairly robust from north to south. Take a look at the GFS…

Upper 30s and low 40s in the north and west and 50s in the southeast. The NAM is much more pronounced with this temp swing…

The colder air in the north means we have to watch the leading edge of the precipitation moving in later today and this evening. It could start out as a bit of a mix for a few areas. This shows up well on the GFS…

The rain looks to slowly pull away early Friday and may end in the form of a mix as the colder air bleeds in from the northwest. There should be a break in the action later Friday into early Saturday before some overrunning precipitation tries to break out on Saturday.

This is ahead of an arctic front that arrives Saturday night. The GFS shows a swath of some light snow with snow showers and squalls possible Sunday…

The Canadian Model is very similar and would give us the chance to put a little snow on the ground in some areas before the weekend is over. As always… we shall see how it plays out.

 Have a great Wednesday and take care.

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