Sunday Weather Thoughts- 4pm Update

By: Chris Bailey
By: Chris Bailey

Sunshine returns to he region today as we take a look into Christmas week.

4pm Update

Good Sunday evening folks. It's a nice weekend wrapping up across the region as temps come up a few degrees under a gorgeous sky. The week ahead will turn wet as we focus our attention on the potential for wintry weather into Christmas weekend.

I have been banging the drum on two potential systems impacting our weather over the holiday weekend. One on Friday and another later Christmas Day into the following day. The forecast models are now all sniffing this out, but they differ on how the whole situation evolves.

The new GFS has a massive storm system coming from the Gulf of Mexico Christmas Day into next Monday and would certainly put us in line for snow.

The European Model has decided to take things a step further as it keeps a stalled out front just to our south from Friday through early next week. That allows for waves of low pressure to work along the boundary giving us mix and snow chances each day.

European Model

The model then brings a big storm out of the Gulf early next week...



That is likely too slow with the storm as the European has a serious tendency to hold energy in the southwest back too long.

I'm not saying this run is right or that you will have a white christmas by any means... but something like it fits the pattern I have been talking about and puts us in the ball game. It is definitely something for us to watch as we go forward. Think those folks who are promising you a mild and dry Christmas weekend are sweating right about now?

Enjoy the rest of your Sunday and take care.

PREVIOUS UPDATE

Good Sunday everyone. I don't have a ton of time for this post and will have another update coming your way later today. I still wanted to get in here and give you some updated thoughts on the Christmas week of weather that's ahead of us.

The breakdown...

- Highs on this Sunday will range from the upper 30s to low 40s for most areas under a partly to mostly sunny sky.

- Clouds and temps increase on Monday as readings head closer to 50. A couple of showers may arrive by Monday night.

- Low pressure works from Texas into the Ohio Valley Tuesday into Wednesday and this will bring widespread rain back to the region. This rain may end as a touch of a mix by late Wednesday as temps fall. This same storm will create some major travel headaches over the next few days across the plains. Look at the snowfall outlook for some of those areas...



Road trip to Kansas?

- Christmas weekend around here should still feature two systems impacting the region. One on Friday and another late Christmas Day into the following Day. Either can bring SOME snow to us. That certainly doesn't mean they will... but the models continue to advertise the possibility. The GFS Ensembles likes the Christmas Day one...



Again... we shall see. It does give us something to track in the days leading up to the BIG day.

Another update will come your way later today, so check back. Have a great Sunday and take care.

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