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6pm Update

Good evening everybody. What a weather day we are wrapping up. Temps well into the 60s with a few springtime showers moving in. I love March!

Our short-term weather will continue to see an increase in showers and isolated thunderstorms tonight into Wednesday. Blah, Blah, Blah.

The system for the weekend is starting to come into a little better focus and I like what the GFS Ensembles are coming up with…

That’s a colder look than several of the other models, but it makes the most sense as of right now.

The change to a more wintry look for the eastern half of the country continues to look fairly strong. It’s one that tries to lock in for a while as we head into the next 2-3 weeks. The pattern is basically going to reverse itself and send a big ridge up the west coast into Alaska and put a deep trough into the eastern part of the country.

The GFS Ensembles show how the cold increases around here…

Have a great evening and take care.

Previous Update

Good Tuesday everyone and welcome to the last day of March…. err… make that January. It’s a fitting ending to a month that has featured mostly above normal temperatures. As warm as it has been… this month isn’t really close to being among the warmest January’s ever. You sure couldn’t tell that by the weather of today.

Highs will reach the low 60s for many areas and it could even be milder than that if you have more sun than clouds where you live. I must admit… your friendly weatherdude is digging it.

Clouds are going to increase through the day and a few showers will begin to fire up by evening. These showers will increase overnight into Wednesday as a wave of low pressure works across the region. This will deliver a general quarter to a half-inch for most areas.

Can we hear a rumble of thunder? Do we really have to ask that question, again?

Temps behind this system won’t drop very much at all and readings should stay above normal for the end of the week. Yippee.

I’m not even going to waste time in making maps of how each model is handling the weekend cutoff low because there is ZERO agreement in placement or timing. I warned you this would happen this week and we are seeing the model madness take over.

It’s a clear battle shaping up. In one corner we have the overall pattern that’s becoming more conducive for cold and snow chances around here and across the eastern US. In the other corner… the undisputed champion of the winter of 2011-2012, so far. His name is seasonal trend. The seasonal trend has KO’d every attempt Old Man Winter has thrown at us. I want to see the old man get in a few body shots or bloody the nose of the seasonal trend before I jump on the bandwagon.

Anybody out there know how to fix a fight? If so… this might be a good time for winter lovers to do so.

I will have another update later today. Enjoy your spring day and take care.