Tuesday Rain To Snow Tracker- 6pm Update

By: Chris Bailey
By: Chris Bailey

Rain will fall for much of the day as snow takes over by evening.

6PM UPDATE

Good evening everyone. Rain has been rolling across the region today as low pressure pulls off to our northeast. Winds have been whipping up and now we get set for snow showers and flurries to kick in. Let's break it down...

- Snow showers and flurries will increase this evening across the entire area as a disturbance drops in from the northwest. This will put down a coating in some areas with the potential for up to an inch for any area getting in on a heavier snow shower.

- Temps drop into the mid and upper 20s late tonight and this will cause some slick spots to develop on roads.

- Morning Flurries and snow showers will give way to some late afternoon sun and highs in the low and mid 30s for Wednesday.


Where do we go from here? All models not named the GFS continue to point to a major buckle in the jet stream early next week. This would bring a serious shot of winter to the eastern half of the country.  The European Model...
 


The model goes on to then produce an extreme look with a mega cutoff low on top of us with a powerhouse storm in the mid atlantic...



The model has shown this exact same solution for the past several runs and has the Canadian Model playing the role of wing man...



That would be a heck of a way to kick off 2012! Both of those models then show another cutoff and storm for the end of next week. We have several days to see how all this plays out.

On a shorter term note... that same European is showing some rain and snow showers to begin the last day of the year...



Have a great evening and take care.

PREVIOUS UPDATE

Good Tuesday everyone. We're getting set for a taste of winter later today as rain switches to snow from west to east. This should be enough to put down light accumulations for many areas as colder air rushes in. I have you set to track the transition from drops to flakes.

Here are a few thoughts on this system...

- Rain will be heavy at times today. Some areas will pick up better than a half inch of water before the late day switch to snow.

- Rain will mix with and change to snow across eastern Kentucky and southern Ohio by late afternoon and work east into the early evening as temps fall into the low and mid 30s.

- A lot of the snow that falls during the daylight hours will have to fight a wet ground, so expect a lot of melting. There will be some bands of snow that will be able to produce rates to overcome the wet ground and will give light accumulations to some.

-  Parts of the area could get a grassy coating to MAYBE a slushy inch from whatever snow falls today.

- Northwesterly winds this evening and overnight will produce widespread snow showers across the region. An inch or less will be likely for most areas with more in the higher elevations. Temps hitting the 20s will mean some slick spots will develop on area roads.

Let's track today's weather...






I will have updates later today. Help us out by posting the weather conditions where you live.

Have a great Tuesday and take care.

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