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Wednesday Rain To Snow Tracker- 5:55pm Update

By: Chris Bailey
By: Chris Bailey

Heavy Rain will gradually change to accumulating snow today.

6:45pm Update

Good evening everyone. Here are a few more snow pics from across the region...

Richwood, WV

Rt. 10 in Logan County, WV

Beckley, WV

Some great shots from our loyal bloggers. Thanks guys!

Take care.

5:55pm Update

Getting a ton of great snow pics and hope to get more of those on later this evening. Snow will taper off from west to east over the next few hours. The WV Coalfields and mountains will see additional accumulations during this time.

Reports of snow range from 1.5" in Pike County, Ky to nearly 5" across parts of the WV mountains.

Keep the reports coming and thanks for all you guys do. Take care.

4:25pm Update

I found this twitter pic of snow near Pikeville, Ky...

3:45pm

Check out this great shot from Brad K. who is up in Bridgeport, WV...

That is just to the northeast of Clarksburg. Send me some pics and I will show them off.

2:45pm Update

Check out this latest update from the SPC on the switch to heavy snow across much of WV...

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/ERN WV...FAR WRN VA...MD PANHANDLE...SWRN PA CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW VALID 071944Z - 072245Z A CHANGEOVER FROM RAIN TO SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR THROUGH THIS EVENING...WITH SNOWFALL RATES NEAR 1 INCH PER HR. A POTENT UPPER TROUGH CENTERED NEAR MIDDLE TN /PER 1930Z WATER VAPOR LOOP/ WILL PIVOT NEWD AND BECOME INCREASINGLY NEGATIVELY TILTED THIS EVENING. AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE...STRONG FORCED ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH DCVA/MIDLEVEL HEIGHT FALLS AND FAVORABLE POSITIONING WITHIN CYCLONIC EXIT REGION OF AN ATTENDANT UPPER JET WILL PROMOTE INCREASING PRECIPITATION RATES ACROSS THE CNTRL APPALACHIANS. REGIONAL SFC OBSERVATIONS INDICATE A MODEST COOLING TREND /1-2 DEG F PER HR/ HAS BEEN ONGOING THIS AFTERNOON. SHORT-TERM DETERMINISTIC MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE AS DYNAMIC COLUMNAL COOLING AND LOWER TROPOSPHERIC CAA WILL RESULT IN A CHANGEOVER TO SNOWFALL FROM W TO E THROUGH 23Z. ALTHOUGH NEAR-FREEZING SFC TEMPERATURES WILL SUPPORT LOW SNOW-LIQUID EQUIVALENT RATIOS NEAR 10:1...STRONG FORCED ASCENT AND ABUNDANT LOW-/MIDLEVEL MOISTURE SUPPLY /PWAT VALUES INITIALLY NEAR 0.7-0.8 INCH/ WILL LIKELY YIELD SNOWFALL RATES NEAR 1 INCH/HR AS THIS CHANGEOVER OCCURS.

Tanslation... look out WV coalfields into the mountains!!

2:15pm Update

Here is a snow pic from our own Josh Fitzpatrick from down in Beckley...

Got some pics? Shoot me an email: chris.bailey@wsaz.com . Take care

Noon Update

We continue to see the slow transition to wet snow and some sleet working west to east across the region. A slushy accumulation will be the trend this afternoon and evening on grassy and elevated surfaces. My thoughts have not changed with the best threat at a few inches of snow being across the coalfields into the mountains. That's an area that can pick up several inches of snow into tonight.

A lot of what falls this afternoon will be melting snow as we have a wet and fairly mild ground. Temps later tonight will dive into the low and mid 20s and this will cause slick spots to develop.

I will have more updates as needed. Help us out by posting the weather where you live. Take care.

Previous Update

Good Wednesday everyone and welcome to a wintry day across the region. A complex storm system is cranking up to our southeast and will bring a dose of heavy rain to snow across many areas today and early Tonight.

I have a ton of toys for your tracking purposes. Let's chat a bit before we get to those.

- The track of the low is pretty much set, but any slight deviation of the track and timing can have some pretty big impacts on the weather around here.

- Heavy rain will start the day for many. This could even cause some local high water issues.

- The rain will quickly mix with and change to snow into the afternoon and evening hours as cold air wraps in behind the low. Exactly when this change happens where you live will be THE determining factor on how much snow get.

- There will be a period of heavy snow across the coalfields into the WV mountains. We have a wet and fairly mild ground so there will be some melting that cuts down on totals. That said... the rate of snowfall can overcome this as it snows faster than it can melt.

- This is a VERY quick hitting snow that has about a 6 hour window to work with.

- My thoughts on accumulation remain unchanged...



- The heaviest snows will fall across far southeastern Kentucky through southern WV into the WV mountains with lighter amounts the farther west and northwest you live.

- Keep in mind whatever falls where are will be very slushy with much of the accumulation on grassy and elevated surfaces. Temps in the 20s later tonight should cause some slick travel.

- I am NOT fan of rain to snow forecasts as a ton of variables come into play that can impact snow accumulations. It's the hand I'm being dealt so I have to play it.

Let's track whatever is out there...



Weather Cams

Charleston



Huntington



Ashland



Portsmouth

I will have updates as needed so check back. Have a great Wednesday and take care.

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