Good Friday everyone. Many folks are packing the malls and shopping centers across the land and doing so with very nice shopping weather. They are getting their entertainment from finding bargains as we have our fun seeing which of the forecast models blinks first. It's a monumental stare down between the American models and every other model known to man.
Before we get to that.. the weather today into much of Saturday looks pretty darn good. We are likely to see some dense fog and low clouds early today and this may be slow to burn off. It will leave us with a mainly sunny afternoon sky and temps near 60.
Saturday looks windy with low 60s and an increase in clouds. Rain may move close to our western counties by late evening.
This brings us to one of the greatest model battles I've seen in a long, long time. The NAM and GFS models continue to show a more northern stream dominated system moving in for Sunday into Monday. . They blast a cold front through here Saturday night with rain ahead of the boundary and a switch to snow behind it with snow showers and flurries for Sunday and Monday.
The NAM is very similar to what is being shown above.
The European, Canadian, Nogaps, JMA, etc. all show something totally different with a cutoff upper level low across the Tennessee Valley Sunday that works over top of us Monday into Tuesday. This would imply a MUCH slower and more moisture laden storm that would put down heavy rains and the chance for some heavier snows for some.
It will be interesting to see how the staring contest plays out today. Maybe we should take bets on which model blinks first. As I mentioned in a previous post... the truth is likely somewhere in between.
It's a fun pattern ahead as there is more action in the pipeline for the end of next week.
I will have more updates later today so check back. Have a great Friday and take care.