The overall pattern is dry and quiet for the next couple of days, with a southern storm passing southeast of our region tomorrow through Friday. However, the models have been hinting at the potential for rain (wet snowfall in the mountains) on Friday afternoon. Even though I mentioned this possibility in my last post, I would like to show the latest models runs from today to show why there is some uncertainty in the forecast...
The 0Z run is the most recent run of the NAM model, which keeps the moisture south of our region. Notice how this forecast is much drier than the 12Z run (which came out this morning). This run of the model shows moisture extending into much of southern West Virginia.
Clearly, the models are going back-and-forth with this forecast, which is why there is only small chances of precipitation. Outside of this, the forecast is dry until a cold front passes Saturday night with the potential for a rain/snow mix through Sunday morning.
Have a good night!