The Summer Pattern Returns With More Rain

After a piece of the polar vortex brought dry and fall-like conditions the past few days, a tropical summer pattern has returned for today and is looking to stick around through the weekend...

Mother Nature's timing of these showers may not be the best, as there are many outdoor events taking place throughout the region tonight and this weekend. In fact, I'm sure many of us would prefer to see  those dry and sunny days we saw earlier in the week. Despite this, we should still be thankful for these showers, as our region is seeing rainfall totals below normal this month. For instance, in Grayson, Kentucky, rainfall totals are two inches below normal! The U.S. drought monitor even has areas of Kentucky under a moderate drought....

  • D0 - Abnormally Dry
  • D1 - Moderate Drought
  • D2 - Severe Drought                       (from the USDA website: http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/)

 It's a wet and gloomy evening out there right now, as temperatures are already sitting in the 60s. If your are heading out tonight, you will need to pack the umbrella with shower chances continuing. Right now, we are seeing light and scattered showers. But, these will become heavy and widespread in the pre-dawn hours and through tomorrow morning. Here's a look at our futurecast for that time frame, which shows areas of yellow and dark green shadings indicating heavier shower chances...

These heavier showers are expected to continue through the later morning...

 
 
But as we approach the afternoon and evening hours, showers are expected to become more scattered. It will become an on/off risk, allowing for some periods of dryness. Here is a look at the later evening time frame, which shows only a few isolated showers...
 
 
One thing to consider with these shower chances is that the risk for thunderstorms is rather low, especially as we see highs topping out in the mid 70s. This is a wet pattern, very different than the typical quick-passing storms we typically see in summer.  
 
The forecast will be different for Sunday. It will become a more summer-like pattern with highs in the 80s and scattered afternoon/evening storm chances. 
 
Next week's forecast continues with a summery pattern, with higher humidity, highs in the 80's, and scattered afternoon storm chances. Highs will eventually pull near 90 on Wednesday, but will cool into the lower 80s by Friday. 
 
Have a good weekend!
 
-Kelly Ann
 
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