The Up and Down Forecast for the Next Snowfall

A look at the latest model runs and the forecast for the next snow potential in our region.

All eyes are on the Wednesday-Thursday timeframe with the next potential for snow in our region. Question is- how much snow? As I'll show below, the models are still showing uncertainty with the exact storm track. Just the slightest nudge east or west will have a huge impact on our snowfall forecast...

Snow lovers are rooting for the EURO output...


Notice the proximity of the 996 mb low pressure to the east coast. This places our region under a cyclonic flow, with cold air being ushered in from the north. This outlook has the potential to bring several inches of snowfall to much of our region.


The Canadian outlook is also looking promising for snow potential in our region...

The low pressure system tracks along the east coast, and keeps much of our region under a snowfall potential. The more moderate snowfall is expected to fall to our eastern extents. Notice how the Canadian model has the system touching our region by 7 PM Wednesday, which is several hours earlier than the American model outlooks.



The NAM is keeping much of the snow to our far southern and eastern extents throughout the entire duration of the event...



Even though the NAM shows the low tracking along the east coast, the strength of the low is very weak when it is nearest to our area (Thur AM). It is not until Thursday afternoon, when the system pushes further to the northeast, that the pressure will begin to drop into the 900's.

Finally, there is the GFS...



This outlook keeps the system slightly further east off the coast, which would bring the potential for only light snow in our far southern and eastern extents.

Although snowfall totals are difficult to pin point right now, I can say that the likelihood of snowfall will increase as you move into our southern and eastern counties

Wish I had more details but unfortunately, the models are just too dissimilar with the storm track!


Have a good evening! We will keep you updated...

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