Does Obama stand a chance in WV and KY?

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Does Obama stand a chance in WV and KY?

Topic Author: Scott Saxton

Posted: 12:01 PM Mar 6, 2008

Replies Posted: 41 comments

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Does Obama stand a chance in WV and KY?

My colleague Michael Wooten was tracking the numbers Tuesday night and was the first to point out Hillary Clinton's large support in Southern Ohio. Clinton's biggest margins of victory came in the counties in our region.

81% of the voters in Scioto County voted for Clinton over Barack Obama for example.

Others are taking notice too. Politico.com this week called it "Hillary's Appalachian Advantage."

http://www.politico.com/blogs/jonathanmartin/0308/Hillarys_Appalachia_advantage.html

This knowledge on top of our poll news last week that showed Clinton with a 2 to 1 advantage over Obama in WV and it looks like a tough road for Obama locally.

Chuck Todd, MSNBC's political director, pointed out a potential advantage for Clinton with primaries in Kentucky, WV, Pennsylvania and Indiana over the next several weeks. The fact is the makeup of people along these border counties are not that different. It's "just over the river" as they say. Todd predicted West Virginia and Kentucky could go for Clinton in May, although with some work Obama might be able to challenge.

It makes United States Senator Jay Rockefeller's endorsement of Obama last week that much more intriguing to me.

Now, Thursday afternoon, the news hit that Congressman Nick Rahall endorsed Obama as well. In the article from Congressional Quarterly, Rahall admits that his choice might not be popular with the voters in his district, but he felt Obama has brought new voters to the party and deserves his support.

=====

Speaking of endorsements or non-endorsements, if you were wondering why superdelegate and Ohio congressman Charlie Wilson did not publicly endorse Obama or Clinton, I might have found an answer. An article on politico.com this week pointed out that some Ohio supers are playing "hardball" with the campaigns -- wanting certain promises before they lend public support. Wilson's name is included in the article.

Read about it here:

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0308/8867.html

Posted by: Joyce To Tammy: You need to take a "LONG" walk on a "VERY SHORT" pier.

Posted by: melissa So much racism! I am ashamed to say that there are so many people that can't look beyond color. Listen to his words, can't you hear the truth in his voice. All I hear from people is hate. It's time to stop the republicans from killing our country. We have to come together as one, Not segregated. I will vote for him because I am sick and tired of the backbitin racist.Let the man have your vote. Let him prove he can CHANGE the hard times we are having.

Posted by: lane wilson Forget him and hillary

Posted by: Unforgiving Democrat I for one am sick of Obama and Billery spouting off. Both are educated liars and want you to believe they can make a difference. Heres your difference. Clintons first round in office netted the American people millions of job loses with their NAFTA with our jobs leaving this country therefore creating Wv's climate change. Reason: The suction of the jobs leaving our southern states have moved the intire state 400 miles south . Billery says she can negotiate a new trade agreement. Kind of useless to try building a fence after the horse fell over the rock cliff. The only change to expect from Obama would be Turn the White House into the Ghetto.

Posted by: geri I sure hope and pray that obama doesn"t get the job.

Posted by: Ken I live in Ohio but I hope West Virginians will consider one other item before voting for either Clinton or Obama. I believe that if either wins the election you should be prepared to give up your guns. Where's the NRA when you need them?

Posted by: George The american people are getting ready to see the biggest con game that has ever happened...The prince of whitewash...Obama

Posted by: Baddboyy95 how could a Obama supporter talk about anyone being a racist after the things his "minister" said..Obama is as Anti America as they come.....the saddest thing about this election is , if President Bush has been as bad as the Democrats say why is it all they can come up with is Clionton and Obama

Posted by: julie As bad as I hate to say this......I do believe Hillary will win WV. People in WV need to wake up and realize what a great President Obama would be. He will bring a new direction to the country and will help heal this country and our standing in the world. It irks me to death to read the ignorant comments left on here by some. Obviously, if you have a computer to blog with, why not put it to good use and educate yourself about the candidates instead of just spreading your hate around. OBAMA IS AMERICAN OBAMA IS A CHRISTIAN OBAMA DOES PLEDGE ALLEGIANCE TO THE FLAG OBAMA IS BRILLIANT OBAMA HAS INTEGRITY OBAMA HAS EXCELLENT JUDGEMENT I WANT OBAMA FOR PRESIDENT! If we pass on the chance to have him as Our President then America is hopeless. Leaders like him do not come along every day!

Posted by: ginger I believe that Obama has about as much a chance of winning Ky/W.VA as I would. All I keep hearing is how Hillary should go ahead and bail out of the race with her head lowered in utter defeat. I mean this is the most absurd thing I have heard since Bush said that there wasn't really anything wrong with the economy last year. I think that Hillary will win both states by double digits, and carry Pennsylvania by a margin of 60% to 40%. So all the "so called experts" can talk about probability ratios and superdelegates all they want. When everyone sees Hillary Clinton standing at the podium in August at the Democratic National Convention, then I suppose they will have to fish around for another hot topic to make a prediction on!

Posted by: Gary What if a person is named Charles Manson, Gary Ridgeway or some other notorius criminal? would that alter your thinking???

Posted by: Buckeye_Fan Sarah, if you were so "well educated" perhaps you would know that you don't begin sentences with the word "and" (did you attend your high school English class?) I suppose this Hillary supporter from Ohio is a little more educated than one particular Obama supporter. Just a thought.

Posted by: Gary A lot of you folks are so uneducated. You will decide via a persons name? So sad!!!

Posted by: david The legislative branch creates our laws. The judicial branch interprets our laws. The executive branch is responsible for applying and enforcement of our laws. So why hasn't any presidential candidate commented on upgrading enforcement practices?

Posted by: Sarah Oh please Shelia, you make me ill. Your name describes you perfectly, look it up, it’s Irish and its meaning is “blind.” I guess your Christian ancestry has only "drilled" intolerance into your head since you obviously think anyone with different views is a terrible person. You’re not allowed to “hire” anyone in the US based on their race, religion, gender, or creed but that’s all this race has been about. When I was a little kid I was amazed to think of America as the “melting pot” or the “salad bowl” of the world. And yet, now that I’m older, it amazes me that although this country was supposedly founded upon the quest for religious tolerance, today's Americans cannot be tolerant of anything they think is different from them, including personal or religious beliefs. Go ahead and vote for Hillary, prove me right.

Posted by: Sheila Yes Sarah - I guess I'm one of those uneducated appalachia people!! No one with even half a brain would vote for someone with a name of Hussein whether he picked his name or not. Get smart - names are chosen normally by ancestry. If your ancestors are muslim chances are you'll have their beliefs drilled into your head. DUH! Wake up!

Posted by: Linda I sure hope he doesn't. I don't care for his choice of friends. Rezco is from Sryia They sound dangerous to me. Hillary is smarter, older & more experinced. Let's all stand behind her!!!!

Posted by: Tommy Matty Hey Sarah I guess I am one of those uneducated people voting for Hillary! Hillary is the best choice!

Posted by: no to obama dont let him even think that he is worthy

Posted by: Terry Everyone needs to put their faith in Hillary and give her their vote. If people would pay attention to Hillary's track record and that Oboma is a good talker, they would know that Hillary is our best choice for President. For everyone who doesn't vote, go register and vote for Hillary!

Posted by: Dianne After just attending Senator Obama's rally at the University of Charleston, I would say there is a great deal of support for the Senator. I think we will find the majority of support for him in WV will be in the Metro region as well as the eastern panhandle.

Posted by: ann The Clintons think that all rural, blue collar people don't read and are easily influenced with lies. Some of these comments seem to support this school of thought. Congress urged Bill Clinton not to renew the Chinese trade agreements, twice. He did anyway. Then left office and made himself a millionaire with investments. From your jobs! Why do you think they won't release their taxes? Don't you want to know how they made such a quick financial recovery? Go ahead, don't research, and vote your jobs away.

Posted by: Su-Ellen OBAMA ONLY WINS IN CAUCUS STATES, WHERE CHEATING IS HIS STYLE, LIKE EVERYTHING HE KNOWS, COMING OUT OF CHICAGO !!!! WHY IS IT, WE NOW HAVE A 24/7 NEWS CYCLE, NOT ONE OF THOSE TALKING-HEADS WILL INVESTIGATE THOSE CROOKED CACUSES', LIKE THE MORE RECENT IN TEXAS, WHERE HILLARY WON THE PRIMARY, AND THEN THEY WOULD HAVE US BELIEVE SHE LEFT TOWN, AND LOST THE STUPID CAUCUS!!! THE AMERICAN PEOPLE ARE NOT AS ILL-INFORMED, AS SOME OF THOSE CAMPAIGN WORKERS FOR OBAMA THINK !!! THEY HAVE DONE SOME ROTTEN THINGS AT ALL THE CAUCUS STATES, AND IT WILL COME TO LIGHT, IN THE NEAR FUTURE, BECAUSE "LOOSE LIPS SINK SHIPS" !!!!!!---NO ! NO ! NO! OBAMA CAN'T WIN WHERE HE CAN'T CHEAT!!!!!!!!!!!

Posted by: James NO !!

Posted by: Sarah Basing your decision for president on a person's name is ignorant. Barack Obama didn't choose his name; do most people choose theirs’? Statements like Shelia and Arlene's just proves the ignorance and intolerance that is so prolific in the Appalachian area. It also shows how uneducated people from this region are as well. Notice that poor, uneducated people vote for Hillary Clinton while the opposite vote for Obama. That’s the exact reason why Hillary would win in WV and KY and why she won in Ohio. Not to be rude, every vote counts, but I’d much rather people who are more aware and informed decide who heads this country for the next four to eight years.

Posted by: cc yes obama will win wv but not ky he has the ability to turn people with his honest wisdom .I think he will get the majority of the popular vote but not the delegates needed . so hillary may get the nomination which will cause a loss for the democrates in november its an irony but barack has the best chance with cross over republicans in november .the clintons had their time and sent alot of jobs to china via walmart. hillary is on the board of directors of walmart .obama it is said doesnt have experience thats true hes not soiled with that washington dirt.He holds the potiental to be the greatest leader of our time ,others in our past(the kennedys) were never allowed to acheive their destiny , but assinated instead .our country is in an economic tailspin and no amount of smoke and mirrors will help now you better hope obama gets the nomination !

Posted by: ann Please do your homework on just what the Clinton's policies were on trade in the 90's. Remember Stand up for Steel? Bill chose to sign more China trade deals and NAFTA. The truth is the loss of our jobs started with the first Clinton Administration. Haven't we been devastated enough by the Bushs and the Clintons!

Posted by: cindy obama is our best bet for president.all of you people sound so racist.

Posted by: sharon If the good people of WV and Ky. have any sense about them at all, after seeing the so called minister of Obama"s church that he has attended for so many years and if you truly believe in God there is not way that you will vote for this man. I see that he is not a man of God and if you read the last book in the bible which happens to be Revelations you can plainly see the words speak so clearly of this man and what his purpose for our country is. And it is entirely no good. So think about this person long and hard before you put your trust in him. He's not the man that we need in office.

Posted by: BRENDA people,wake up don,t letobama cause us tohave another bush.

Posted by: shirley We have all heard of the "anti-christ" and i am thinking we be facing one with Obama. Hillary will be pres. in name only and Bill will be president. probably mccain will just be "more of the same" that is going on now. We really don't have much of a choice the way I see it.

Posted by: john I cant believe they posted that for you,sounds racist.while I dont trust Obama,I would vote for Colin Powell,or Mrs Rice.It has nothing to do with color,but how one presents themselves.I think we need a sucsessful company person to run the country for once.None of these choices we have now can get us out of this funk were in.I think Bill is Hillary's biggest problem,lol.just my 2 cents

Posted by: just me Everyone better vote for Hillary or we wiil walk behind all of the blacks. You better take notice

Posted by: john I now know that,rahall and rockefeller will not be getting my vote anymore.They should've stayed netural on this.I personally dont like any of our choices,(where's ross pero when ya need him lol).I think mcain will get the win after all this.

Posted by: Sheila well let's hope not. that will prove that this state truely houses a bunch of idiots. who in their right mind would vote for a person with a name of Hussein?? only an idiot. i always thought rockefeller was a few bricks shy of a full load but this proves it. come on fellow west virginians - get your heads out of the sand and don't vote for Hussein.

Posted by: Bobc Who knows? All I know is Obama, if President, plans to take more taxes for foreign aid, as if we don't give enough already..& his health care plan, and Hillary's...where do they plan to get all this money? I'm fedup with our tax dollars being given to foreigners, either here or overseas!

Posted by: Arlene How could any true AMERICAN vote for a person with the name of HUSSEIN???? to become president of our beloved country????? Just the thought of this terrifies me!!!! Please help me.

Posted by: Adam Mark this down, Clinton will win KY, PA and of course WV. For the first time in a long time, we will head into the DNC with no clear cut nomination. Hubby and Ex-Pres Bill will press enough flesh and kiss enough babies to get Hillary the nomination. The die-hard Obama faithful will be very very disenfranchised and look for a presidential looking slightly liberal candidate. amazingly enough, Mccain will win.

Posted by: Fairness When has Rahall's decisions ever reflected that of his constituents? He's voted for terrorists before and against Israel.