Election Weather Aims to Please

Election Day is here and the weather looks conducive to a big turnout locally. Tony has the Indian Summer report.

Indian Summer in a Landslide

It’s the eve of the national election and the news room at WSAZ is buzzing with anticipation. I will blog Tuesday night on the tension and excitement around WSAZ.

For tonight though, I will define the weather that will greet voters as we elect the 44th president of the United States.

Locally, our spell of Indian Summer (warm weather after the first frost that the Indians used to harvest crops before the true winter set in) will see us safely through the close of the polls on Tuesday, though evening voters in the West Virginia mountains may encounter a shower or 2.

If it does rain in your precinct in Nicholas or Webster County, slow down on those winding country roads, since any wet leaves can be slick to drive upon.

Highs on Election Day will jump into the 70s in most places (60s in the high country) making this the warmest national Election Day here in Appalachia since 2004.

Simply stated then, November 2, 2004 was even warmer than Tuesday will be since highs 4 years ago broke records in the low and mid 80s.

Unlike the Tom Brokaw NBC map that will show lots of blue (DEMS) and red (GOP) states on Tuesday, my map on my 6 and 11 PM shows is one of green/white and blank in colors. A green smear is a state in the rain, while a white smudge highlights where it is likely to snow. Meanwhile, a blank state is likely to have dry weather.

I see 2 areas where there will be green states. The first focuses on the Carolinas and Virginia where a strong coastal storm will be forming on Tuesday. The region from Richmond and Newport News south to Myrtle Beach and Charleston SC will see an all day soaking wind whipped rain.

Here, many voters will have wet roads, falling leaves and pine straw, and a low overcast to contend with. Not the ideal conditions that are most conducive to high turnout.

Since Virginia and North Carolina are considered swing states, it is conceivable that the weather will hold down turnout enough to sway these key states into Brokaw’s red or blue camps. Coastal cities will be especially impacted though Piedmont towns like Charlotte and Greensboro NC and Charlottesville and Blacksburg Va will get in on the nasties.

In the Northwest, rain is likely from the Pacific states of Washington and Oregon (Dem strongholds) into Big Sky country, Montana, Idaho, Wyoming (GOP areas). Since these states are considered locks for their parties, I am sensing that lower voter turnout due to weather is unlikely to sway the tallies.

My weather research suggests that our agrarian forefathers set early November for the national election since the fall harvest was complete by then. This gave farmers a chance to travel without compromising their crops needs.

I will add to this blog after dinner.

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