Don't Bet on an Early Spring

Winter is hanging on this last week of February with a fresh coat of snow and more cold blusters. TC says not to expect a change heading into March.

Winter Hangs Tough

OK, time to confess. I really don’t want winter to end! Yes, I did say 2 weeks ago that “even I am tired of winter this year”, but fact is spring will be here before too long and there is just something special about a brisk walk on a cold and blustery winter day.

Take today when a fresh sheet of ice covered the ponds near my house. In celebration, I added a bounce to my step during my daily walk. The sugar coat of overnight snow on the ice twinkled smartly as the sun shone thru the morning cloud deck. I expect an even thicker covering of ice come Tuesday morning as lows are again heading into the teens tonight.

If you are reading from the warm spring training climes if Florida and Arizona, stay put for a few more weeks, else you may come face to face with more of the expected cold and snowy blusters of what I contend has been the longest and most persistent winter of the decade.

The weekend cold and snow pattern aside, the long range trends continue to suggest we are in for a cold and stormy start to meteorological spring.

Let me redefine that term to the meteorologist; namely, since meteorological winter occurs in the 3 coldest months (December, January, February), by default Sunday March 1 starts meteorological spring. This is in contrast to astronomical spring (when the direct rays of the sun cross the Equator after having spent the past 3 months in the Southern Hemisphere).

We will spend this last week of February slowly moderating toward seasonal temperature normals by mid week. That means highs in the 50s by Wednesday and Thursday

But waiting in the wings, our supercomputers are suggesting more meteorological mischief is in the cards by this weekend and early next week. By then, another arctic cold front and a developing southern storm may act in harmony to produce a Nor’easter.

How much snow will we get and how cold will it get as the March lion roars onto the scene? The answers my friends will be blowing in the wind!
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