Wet Snowfall Targets Appalachia, Finally
Up front I want to make a confession. The weather pattern I envisioned this winter has not materialized, yet!
Recall, my forecast was for an active storm track with frequent storms delivering lots of rain and snows. I expected the storm track to come from Seattle toward the Ohio Valley with snows changing to rain then back to snow at the tail end.
I quote from my November 9th blog. “ The snows will be of the “wet” variety this winter and will melt away almost as quickly as they came. People with bad backs and or heart conditions will be best served hiring kids in the neighborhood to shovel the walk. If you dare, you can wait for the snow to melt on its own.”
In the melting snow and heavy rain pattern, I even mentioned how flood stage crests on the mighty Ohio and Great Kanawha were possible.
Of course, my forecast was predicated on the cool waters of the Pacific Ocean, a phenomenon known as La Nina.
Fast forward to this last week in January and La Nina has been trumped by a persistent flow of arctic air from Canada. Frequent dry snows have materialized and along the way laid down more than 30 inches this winter.
Remarkably, the snow has remained on the ground for days, even weeks on end.
Now though, a chink in the armor of this dry snow pattern comes as a southern storm targets our area with wet snows this week. Given the high water content of the snow, our first real risk of a bough bender with power outs is on the table.
If we are to have power outs, Wednesday seems to have the highest probability with the Southern Coalfields and mountainous West Virginia at the top of the list for possible problems.
The key to this storm is going to be how much snow melts and how much sticks, given the close to 32 degree air that will surround this storm.
One thing for sure, a pair of old fashioned galoshes or at least an old pair of shoes may be the best way to combat this "old fashioned sopping wet" snowfall that is due in town.