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Next Winter Storm on Horizon Save Email Print
Posted: 4:29 PM Feb 25, 2008
Last Updated: 7:10 PM Feb 25, 2008
Reporter: Tony Cavalier
Email Address: tony.cavalier@wsaz.com

A | A | A

“Plowable” Snowfall in the Works

It’s Monday afternoon and under a grey overcast temperatures are struggling for a second straight day to reach the 40s. Since my Friday forecast for Monday was for highs in the 50s, I am the first to admit that this low cloud deck and chilly pattern has been one of foolery.

But let me stress, the predicted winter weather pattern is evolving as expected and a snowfall is likely in our region by Tuesday nightfall. Only the details are to be worked out.

Let’s skip the wet and drippy story on tap for TuesDAY. Snow lovers don’t care about that. You only want to know about Tuesday NIGHT and Wednesday’s snow.

In a nutshell, rain will change to sleet and snow by nightfall Tuesday (from west to east). Then aided by a turning NW wind (the twist will be in the counter-clockwise motion which snow lovers crave), it will snow all night Tuesday thru likely midday Wednesday.

During the period a general 2 to 4 inch accumulation shouldl cover the region with localized 5 and 6 inch amounts a good bet on the high ground of the Coalfields (for example Whitesville) and Eastern end of the Kanawha Valley.

An argument can be made for more 2” inch accumulations points west toward Portsmouth and Vanceburg and more 4” totals east toward I-77 in the Parkersburg to Charleston zone. That would leave the River Cities in a general 2" or 3” zone. Hence the 2”-4” moniker. But the actual snowfall accumulation in any one location is best pinpointed on Tuesday. I give these early thoughts for my loyal readers. If you are a snow lover, hope for the upper end of the 2" to 4" range, if a snow hater, pray for the lower end!

In the low mountains, towns from Lewisburg and Beckley to Buckhannon, Richwood, Summersville, and Craigsville, at least half a foot will stack up with the chance for 10”. Blowing and drifting snow will be common here.

Skiers, you will be happy to know your favorite resort will measure 10” with 12”+ possible from Snowshoe north to Canaan and Wisp and Seven Springs.

Of course we are still 24 hours (as of 4PM Monday) from the first flake falling, so let’s give the storm a chance to tip it’s hand a bit more before we coronate this as the top snow of the season. Clearly that designation is more likely to be on target the farther east you live. But for now I say to OH,KY AND WV DOT personnel, grease those snowplows!

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Posted by: akeila spradlin on Feb 28, 2008 at 06:48 PM
I hope we are in the 4" zone .My kids really want enough snow to build a snow man.

Posted by: Prink on Feb 27, 2008 at 01:43 PM
So far we only have a dusting of snow. I'm really disappointed especially since our area was in the borderline area to get between 2-4 inches.

Posted by: Basketball on Feb 27, 2008 at 01:05 PM
No forget about falling behind, basketball is important too.

Posted by: ng on Feb 27, 2008 at 11:49 AM
Here we go again. It missed us again, we are about ten miles south of grayson ky and we have only a dusting of snow. Why is it all missing us.

Posted by: PARENT on Feb 27, 2008 at 04:40 AM
SNOW-JUST GREAT! ANOTHER WONDERFUL DAY FOR ME TO WORRY ABOUT MY CHILDREN BEING ON A SCHOOL BUS. MINGO COUNTY IS THE WORSE PLACE THAT I HAVE EVER SEEN ABOUT NOT GIVING THE CHILDREN OFF A DAY FOR BAD WEATHER- IF THEY ARE AFRAID THE CHILDREN ARE GOING TO FALL BEHIND- TAKE A COUPLE OF THE BASKETBALL GAME TOURNAMENT DAYS AWAY, AND KEEP OUR CHILDREN SAFE.

Posted by: Anonymous on Feb 27, 2008 at 12:34 AM
the snow would be good haven't really had any good winters lately but just if the boone county schools would close and not put them on a 2 hour delay i like snow but i hate to drive in it

Posted by: Mantha on Feb 27, 2008 at 12:31 AM
Could someone email Mondays weather conditions for a homework assignment? I need the temperaure,humidity, wind chill,wind speed, %chance precipitation, conditons on Monday. I have been trying to search but no luck. I would apprecitate it. Thanks!!!

Posted by: John on Feb 26, 2008 at 11:03 PM
I saw tony cavalier at pets and things...he is a very nice guy. He told me to watch out for some snow!!

Posted by: mike on Feb 26, 2008 at 10:19 PM
I just moved from Columbus Ohio.After 4 years of listening to the meteorologists constantly get the forecast wrong.It's nice to be back listening to Tony's weather reports.Is it easier to predict the weather around here or is Tony just that good????

Posted by: Eddie on Feb 26, 2008 at 09:14 PM
Let's bring on the snow! I'm ready!!

Posted by: Dylan on Feb 26, 2008 at 08:44 PM
Tony Cavalier is my boy, this man knows weather.

Posted by: Amy and Kirsten on Feb 26, 2008 at 08:09 PM
Tony, you are a weather master. You are the ONLY forcaster who will even attempt to give a future cast...OF COURSE WEATHER CAN CHANGE!! The anticipation is even more or just as fun as the snow fall itself. You have brought us such joy this winter and you were right...we have probably had 15-16 days of snow on the ground. In fact, we have missed 11 days of school this winter. If weather forcasting was a government position you would be PRESIDENT!! We are both teachers and read your blog to our students faithfully ever time you post. In fact, my fourth graders really think you are famous! You always attempt to make them educational and witty. We would love for you to visit our school. You are a class act!! So no more of this "here we go again"...let's hope you go again because you are the best. Sincerely, Amy and Kirsten (sisters, teachers @ same school) Southeastern Ohio

Posted by: Beth Ann on Feb 26, 2008 at 07:35 PM
I was hoping we we wont get no more snow, but right now it is flurring, hope that is all it does. I am in Ashland.

Posted by: jon on Feb 26, 2008 at 07:34 PM
hey tony, will you post a new blog on how this snow is shaping up now that the snow is warming up ? :)

Posted by: jackalanter on Feb 26, 2008 at 06:56 PM
is wayne county on a dela yes or no e-mail me

Posted by: Jane on Feb 26, 2008 at 06:24 PM
I work in Boone County and drive to work everyday.I hate driving in the bad weather.I for one hope Tony is wrong this time.

Posted by: na on Feb 26, 2008 at 05:14 PM
u watch people in Logan won't even get any snow & if we do maybe an inch if that. I can remember in the early ;80's snow!! & no school for a week & that was in cabell county now no snow well happen. that's how it always is.

Posted by: Anonymous on Feb 26, 2008 at 05:01 PM
If they could predict snow like they predict rain and heat it may be worth watching.

Posted by: Lester on Feb 26, 2008 at 05:01 PM
Tonight: Periods of rain showers before 11pm, then periods of rain and snow showers between 11pm and 1am, then snow showers likely after 1am. Areas of fog. Low around 26. West wind between 10 and 15 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. ________________________________ So what's up with this? This from NOAA. You all not looking at the same models or what Tony?

Posted by: JinLu on Feb 26, 2008 at 04:55 PM
I like snow so good. I hope you so right to love snow in the tomorrow. I like Tony he is so good. He know how to tell the snow so nice. WSAZ is the best!

Posted by: snowlover1023 on Feb 26, 2008 at 04:36 PM
Tony,Tony,tony!!!! you always get our hopes up!!!! you say that we will get 2-4 inches... it will probably turn to all rain. THis season has been soooo lacking snow. I grew up in Marquette,Michigan and 2-4 inches here is like a flurry in Marquette... why cant we get someofthat baybe!!!!

Posted by: JS on Feb 26, 2008 at 04:01 PM
I am beginning to wonder if someone has a connection with the weather gods around here to block any snow from coming our way. How come it is so difficult to forecast snow but they can get everything else right? Why was it that only this morning Marena said she expected them to upgrade our area to be included in the weather advisory for 2-4 inches and now the weather channel states we will get less than an inch?

Posted by: Prink on Feb 26, 2008 at 03:17 PM
I'm really hoping for a good snow here in the Eastern Coalfields. I live in Johnson County and the most we've seen is a dusting this winter. We just bought our house this summer and we're hoping our girls we'll get to sled in their new backyard! I have to agree with some of the comments about the lack of snow. We've been told on several occasions to expect a couple inches and we've woken up to our same green grass.

Posted by: Reba on Feb 26, 2008 at 03:12 PM
I would like to see the weather forecast to incorporate the area. I didn't know if you realize it or not but wsaz is considered our local channel. It sometimes becomes frustrating that you don't cover Athens and Morgan county in your viewing area. You would think Columbus Ohio would be our local channel but it isn't you are. We enjoy watching your station we just wish that you would take our viewing area into consideration when you are giving the weather forecast. Anything you do would be greatly appreciated. Thanks

Posted by: Dissapointed on Feb 26, 2008 at 02:59 PM
Well, for those who hate winter, it's about over now. Hopefully, you are happy since we have not had a real winter..again this year. And for those of us who LOVE winter and the snows of yesteryear...all we have are the memories. Winter seasons around here are just no fun anymore.

Posted by: Anonymous on Feb 26, 2008 at 02:56 PM
I wish you all would predict it better because everytime I see there is going to be 2-4 inches there is always only one inch or so. I usually get my hopes up for nothing. ohh by the way HI MOM

Posted by: Anonymous on Feb 26, 2008 at 02:35 PM
yeah yeah yeah, here we snow again.

Posted by: Charles on Feb 26, 2008 at 02:15 PM
I think people are ignorant when they say the forecasters are always wrong. They seem to only remember when they are wrong and forget when they right which they are eighty percent of the time. By the way I am not a forecaster!

Posted by: Deena on Feb 26, 2008 at 02:00 PM
I agree, only call it a snow storm tony if we get more than six inches. everything less than that is a snowfall.

Posted by: SF on Feb 26, 2008 at 01:17 PM
Yeah, this is ridiculous. Dont say were getting a "snow storm" when its only gonna snow an inch! I have to make more changes to my schedule than the ordinary person and it just wrecks everything! The weather needs to be called by the hour I guess.

Posted by: Anonymous on Feb 26, 2008 at 12:28 PM
i hope for no school

Posted by: TimboNunnery on Feb 26, 2008 at 12:00 PM
Jeeeeeee wizzz.....why can't it ever snow here!!! :(:(:(:(

Posted by: Robin on Feb 26, 2008 at 10:47 AM
Here we go again? NOT. Last night the call was for 2 - 4 inches in our area, now this morning, less than 12 hours later, i'ts been "downgraded" to maybe an inch. Us snow lovers can't keep getting our hopes up. I for one may stop watching the weather!!!! They can't ever seem to get it right! COME ON SNOW!!! our kids need to see one like the BIG one we had when we were kids... Actually we had snow most every winter. Now our kids can only dream about going sledding unless its on a muddy hill with a little bit of slush on it...

Posted by: Anonymous on Feb 26, 2008 at 10:47 AM
i hope we get 10" of snow.

Posted by: Anonymous on Feb 26, 2008 at 07:50 AM
let it snow we need a good one i hope we get alot of it

Posted by: Anonymous on Feb 26, 2008 at 07:13 AM
Go away snow ! And let the spring days in !

Posted by: chuck on Feb 26, 2008 at 04:52 AM
let it snow, I really like the new updated animated doppler radar online.

Posted by: SF on Feb 26, 2008 at 01:12 AM
Everytime they say its gonna snow it doesnt and when they say its not it does! Does anyone remember the big one of 78'? I was a child but do remember it. We dont get big snowfalls like we used to.

Posted by: Anonymous on Feb 26, 2008 at 12:54 AM
snow is fine but its not when the schools wont close see i take my daughters to school everyday and the school they attend does not close that often and i hate to drive in snow

Posted by: td on Feb 26, 2008 at 12:37 AM
I SAY GIT R DUN TONY LOL

Posted by: Donna Bentley on Feb 26, 2008 at 12:31 AM
LET IT SNOW I LOVE IT

Posted by: Kim on Feb 26, 2008 at 12:00 AM
I just love your blog Tony!! I hope this one dumps at least 3" or more here in Huntington. The kids have yet to have a snow big enough to ride sleds in...this might be the one!:)

Posted by: Keith on Feb 25, 2008 at 11:36 PM
I believe your on the money with this one! But how about the STORM next Tue-Wed? I see March living up to its name!

Posted by: Shirley on Feb 25, 2008 at 10:48 PM
Every winter I am so THANKFUL my husband got a job offer in Mason Co. and we moved from Nicholas Co. It's beautiful in all the seasons--but just to much snow for me.

Posted by: Grandma on Feb 25, 2008 at 10:45 PM
Check WSAZ at least twice a day for hometown news & weather... Tony,just pack me some snow cream in dry ice and drop it in the mail!

Posted by: Please Snow! on Feb 25, 2008 at 10:29 PM
I won't let my husband take our 12' inflatable snowman down (it's been up since Christmas!) until we get a good snow! I have told my two teenagers, the neighbors and friends "It isn't coming down until we get a real snow!" SO...needless to say...Everyone is praying for a good snow around me!

Posted by: ANONYMOUS on Feb 25, 2008 at 10:19 PM
BRING IT ON!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Posted by: Kathy on Feb 25, 2008 at 09:28 PM
Thanks for the blog Tony. I am one of those praying for the lesser end of the snow amount forecasted. I have noticed that there are so many accidents when we get into a weather pattern like the one we've been stuck in. I'm ready for sunshine and temps in the perfect 70's. Bring on Spring!!

Posted by: MaMa Doss!! on Feb 25, 2008 at 09:25 PM
Tony i just love reading your Blog's i check it quite often and i hope your computer model's are telling the truth i love to watch it snow, i live next to Gilbert,Wv and it seems we miss out on alot of snow days but i hope this one pan's out. Let it Snow!!!

Posted by: Me on Feb 25, 2008 at 09:21 PM
Here we go again, hopeing for a big snow amount. When all the wrecks, power outages and other problems occur, then we will hear when is it going to stop? snowing !!!!!!

Posted by: STEPHANIE on Feb 25, 2008 at 09:15 PM
LET IT SNOW, LET IT SNOW, LET IT SNOW!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Posted by: Anonymous on Feb 25, 2008 at 08:57 PM
How about Pike Co, KY? We seem to have missed quite a few snowfalls lately. Will this system finally give us what we crave? (please say yes, please say yes!)

Posted by: Mark on Feb 25, 2008 at 08:09 PM
Let'er rip tater chip!!!

Posted by: Judy C. on Feb 25, 2008 at 08:08 PM
IT'S COMING!!!! YIPPEE!!!!!!

Posted by: Oh yeah on Feb 25, 2008 at 07:19 PM
Bring it on Tony, We love snow!!!!!more is better!!!!!

Posted by: kristy on Feb 25, 2008 at 07:18 PM
I am still waiting on the big one

Posted by: Anonymous on Feb 25, 2008 at 07:05 PM
always bad news tony why and wheres summer weather

Posted by: randy on Feb 25, 2008 at 06:51 PM
Well Tony...let's see if you get this one right??? Usually when it doesn't just snow quick, you are way off...

Posted by: jon on Feb 25, 2008 at 06:35 PM
thank you for the blog tony! i hope we got that big snow. what a huge smile many kids will have if we do. :)

Posted by: Ready for spring! on Feb 25, 2008 at 06:10 PM
I am sick and tired of this cold weather, I cannot wait for Spring.

Posted by: Anonymous on Feb 25, 2008 at 05:57 PM
Bring on the snow,we love snowdays

Posted by: Lester on Feb 25, 2008 at 05:44 PM
Well Tony, I hope your wrong. I work(drive) in it each night and I don't look forward to it but I take what mother nature throws my way and go on.

Posted by: Lynn on Feb 25, 2008 at 05:30 PM
Carrie you are looking good I love your hair style

Posted by: Eddie on Feb 25, 2008 at 05:13 PM
Yay!!

Posted by: Karen on Feb 25, 2008 at 04:43 PM
I hope we get this snow, the kids need to get the sleds out before spring arrives. I'm crossing my fingers Tony.

Posted by: Jason on Feb 25, 2008 at 04:40 PM
Well that's a LIGHT snow fall again for most areas! It would be nice to get 6" of snow. Now that's a "PLOWABLE" snow, Tony.

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